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政治·墨西哥

墨西哥立法選舉獲勝者

icon for 墨西哥立法選舉獲勝者
政治·墨西哥

墨西哥立法選舉獲勝者

莫雷納黨 92.9%

全國行動黨（PAN） 3.2%

制度革命黨（PRI） 3.2%

公民運動（MC） <1%

Polymarket

$87,156 交易量

莫雷納黨 92.9%

全國行動黨（PAN） 3.2%

制度革命黨（PRI） 3.2%

公民運動（MC） <1%

Polymarket

$87,156 交易量

icon for 莫雷納黨

莫雷納黨

$52,855 交易量

93%

icon for 全國行動黨（PAN）

全國行動黨（PAN）

$9,512 交易量

3%

icon for 制度革命黨（PRI）

制度革命黨（PRI）

$6,263 交易量

3%

icon for 公民運動（MC）

公民運動（MC）

$7,582 交易量

<1%

icon for 工黨（PT）

工黨（PT）

$5,139 交易量

<1%

icon for 墨西哥生態綠黨（PVEM）

墨西哥生態綠黨（PVEM）

$5,805 交易量

<1%

A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Morena maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for the 2027 Mexican legislative election winner, reflecting its status as the incumbent party with strong polling averages above 38 percent nationally, backed by President Claudia Sheinbaum’s sustained popularity and the party’s organizational continuity from the prior administration. The fragmented opposition, including PAN and PRI, continues to trail significantly amid limited coalition momentum and historical weakness in recent cycles. Traders assign low probabilities to challengers due to Morena’s institutional advantages and voter base consolidation. Potential shifts could arise from major economic pressures, security deteriorations, internal coalition fractures among allies like PVEM or PT, or unexpected opposition consolidation ahead of the June 6, 2027 vote.

A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
交易量
$87,156
結束日期
2027-06-06
市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Morena maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for the 2027 Mexican legislative election winner, reflecting its status as the incumbent party with strong polling averages above 38 percent nationally, backed by President Claudia Sheinbaum’s sustained popularity and the party’s organizational continuity from the prior administration. The fragmented opposition, including PAN and PRI, continues to trail significantly amid limited coalition momentum and historical weakness in recent cycles. Traders assign low probabilities to challengers due to Morena’s institutional advantages and voter base consolidation. Potential shifts could arise from major economic pressures, security deteriorations, internal coalition fractures among allies like PVEM or PT, or unexpected opposition consolidation ahead of the June 6, 2027 vote.

A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
交易量
$87,156
結束日期
2027-06-06
市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).

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是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"墨西哥立法選舉獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "莫雷納黨" at 93%, followed by "全國行動黨（PAN）" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 93¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "墨西哥立法選舉獲勝者" has generated $87.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 15, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "墨西哥立法選舉獲勝者," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "墨西哥立法選舉獲勝者" is "莫雷納黨" at 93%, meaning the market assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "全國行動黨（PAN）" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "墨西哥立法選舉獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.