Trump's established pattern of high-volume activity on Truth Social, averaging 18 to 19 posts daily through early 2026 with frequent overnight sprees exceeding 50 in a single session, anchors trader consensus on the 200+ range for the May 15-22 window at 42 percent. This positioning reflects ongoing political engagement, including commentary on policy and endorsements, that sustains elevated output even during routine periods. Recent data from mid-May shows continued momentum through early-morning and evening clusters, aligning with historical baselines rather than signaling any slowdown. The 180-199 bracket at 21.9 percent captures scenarios of slightly moderated pace amid scheduled events, while lower buckets price in the low probability of unusual restraint given the platform's role in direct messaging.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年5月15日至5月22日？
唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年5月15日至5月22日？
200+ 55%
120-139 24%
180-199 19.2%
160-179 19%
$18,853 交易量
$18,853 交易量
2026-05-22
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
5%
120-139
19%
140-159
14%
160-179
19%
180-199
27%
200+
35%
200+ 55%
120-139 24%
180-199 19.2%
160-179 19%
$18,853 交易量
$18,853 交易量
2026-05-22
60-79
$1,316 交易量
<1%
80-99
$3,248 交易量
<1%
100-119
$891 交易量
5%
120-139
$672 交易量
19%
140-159
$413 交易量
14%
160-179
$274 交易量
19%
180-199
$487 交易量
27%
200+
$677 交易量
35%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's established pattern of high-volume activity on Truth Social, averaging 18 to 19 posts daily through early 2026 with frequent overnight sprees exceeding 50 in a single session, anchors trader consensus on the 200+ range for the May 15-22 window at 42 percent. This positioning reflects ongoing political engagement, including commentary on policy and endorsements, that sustains elevated output even during routine periods. Recent data from mid-May shows continued momentum through early-morning and evening clusters, aligning with historical baselines rather than signaling any slowdown. The 180-199 bracket at 21.9 percent captures scenarios of slightly moderated pace amid scheduled events, while lower buckets price in the low probability of unusual restraint given the platform's role in direct messaging.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
交易量
$18,853結束日期
2026-05-22市場開放時間
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's established pattern of high-volume activity on Truth Social, averaging 18 to 19 posts daily through early 2026 with frequent overnight sprees exceeding 50 in a single session, anchors trader consensus on the 200+ range for the May 15-22 window at 42 percent. This positioning reflects ongoing political engagement, including commentary on policy and endorsements, that sustains elevated output even during routine periods. Recent data from mid-May shows continued momentum through early-morning and evening clusters, aligning with historical baselines rather than signaling any slowdown. The 180-199 bracket at 21.9 percent captures scenarios of slightly moderated pace amid scheduled events, while lower buckets price in the low probability of unusual restraint given the platform's role in direct messaging.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$18,853結束日期
2026-05-22市場開放時間
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETTrump's established pattern of high-volume activity on Truth Social, averaging 18 to 19 posts daily through early 2026 with frequent overnight sprees exceeding 50 in a single session, anchors trader consensus on the 200+ range for the May 15-22 window at 42 percent. This positioning reflects ongoing political engagement, including commentary on policy and endorsements, that sustains elevated output even during routine periods. Recent data from mid-May shows continued momentum through early-morning and evening clusters, aligning with historical baselines rather than signaling any slowdown. The 180-199 bracket at 21.9 percent captures scenarios of slightly moderated pace amid scheduled events, while lower buckets price in the low probability of unusual restraint given the platform's role in direct messaging.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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