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Louisiana Republican Senate Primary First Round Winner

icon for Louisiana Republican Senate Primary First Round Winner

Louisiana Republican Senate Primary First Round Winner

Julia Letlow 99.8%

John Fleming <1%

Bill Cassidy <1%

Polymarket

$53,181 交易量

Julia Letlow 99.8%

John Fleming <1%

Bill Cassidy <1%

Polymarket

$53,181 交易量

Julia Letlow

$17,398 交易量

100%

John Fleming

$21,872 交易量

1%

Bill Cassidy

$13,910 交易量

1%

The Louisiana Republican Senate Primary is currently scheduled to be held on May 16, 2026, with a runoff on June 27 if no candidate wins a majority in the primary. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.President Donald Trump's January endorsement of U.S. Representative Julia Letlow has consolidated Republican primary support against incumbent Senator Bill Cassidy, whose 2021 impeachment vote and policy clashes with the administration have drawn sustained intraparty opposition. Recent polling showed Letlow and state Treasurer John Fleming competing for the lead while Cassidy trailed, with both challengers drawing from overlapping Trump-aligned voters and splitting the anti-incumbent vote. This dynamic has positioned Letlow as the clear first-round frontrunner in Louisiana's May 16 Republican primary under the state's top-two advancement rules. Trader consensus at 99 percent reflects these structural advantages and early returns confirming her lead. Late-count shifts in rural parishes or formal certification delays remain the primary factors that could still alter the outcome before resolution.

The Louisiana Republican Senate Primary is currently scheduled to be held on May 16, 2026, with a runoff on June 27 if no candidate wins a majority in the primary.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$53,181
結束日期
2026-05-16
市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
The Louisiana Republican Senate Primary is currently scheduled to be held on May 16, 2026, with a runoff on June 27 if no candidate wins a majority in the primary. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
The Louisiana Republican Senate Primary is currently scheduled to be held on May 16, 2026, with a runoff on June 27 if no candidate wins a majority in the primary. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.President Donald Trump's January endorsement of U.S. Representative Julia Letlow has consolidated Republican primary support against incumbent Senator Bill Cassidy, whose 2021 impeachment vote and policy clashes with the administration have drawn sustained intraparty opposition. Recent polling showed Letlow and state Treasurer John Fleming competing for the lead while Cassidy trailed, with both challengers drawing from overlapping Trump-aligned voters and splitting the anti-incumbent vote. This dynamic has positioned Letlow as the clear first-round frontrunner in Louisiana's May 16 Republican primary under the state's top-two advancement rules. Trader consensus at 99 percent reflects these structural advantages and early returns confirming her lead. Late-count shifts in rural parishes or formal certification delays remain the primary factors that could still alter the outcome before resolution.

The Louisiana Republican Senate Primary is currently scheduled to be held on May 16, 2026, with a runoff on June 27 if no candidate wins a majority in the primary.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$53,181
結束日期
2026-05-16
市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
The Louisiana Republican Senate Primary is currently scheduled to be held on May 16, 2026, with a runoff on June 27 if no candidate wins a majority in the primary. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Louisiana Republican Senate Primary First Round Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Julia Letlow" at 100%, followed by "John Fleming" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Louisiana Republican Senate Primary First Round Winner" has generated $53.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 15, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Louisiana Republican Senate Primary First Round Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Louisiana Republican Senate Primary First Round Winner" is "Julia Letlow" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "John Fleming" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Louisiana Republican Senate Primary First Round Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.