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icon for 俄勒岡州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

俄勒岡州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

icon for 俄勒岡州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

俄勒岡州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

大衛·布羅克·史密斯 65.1%

喬·芮·帕金斯 30%

羅素·麥克阿蒙德 2.2%

喬·約翰遜 1.3%

Polymarket

$90,706 交易量

大衛·布羅克·史密斯 65.1%

喬·芮·帕金斯 30%

羅素·麥克阿蒙德 2.2%

喬·約翰遜 1.3%

Polymarket

$90,706 交易量

大衛·布羅克·史密斯

$5,091 交易量

65%

喬·芮·帕金斯

$15,547 交易量

30%

羅素·麥克阿蒙德

$14,769 交易量

2%

喬·約翰遜

$10,524 交易量

1%

Tim Skelton

$9,076 交易量

1%

大衛·伯奇

$23,214 交易量

1%

黛博拉·C·布朗

$2,930 交易量

1%

布倫特·巴克

$2,547 交易量

<1%

道格拉斯·T·馬克二世

$7,009 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon. If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.State Sen. David Brock Smith holds the leading position in Oregon’s Republican U.S. Senate primary, driven by late-April and early-May endorsements from the Taxpayers Association of Oregon and conservative officials highlighting his anti-tax record and legislative work on wildfires and Measure 110 reform. Superior fundraising, with roughly $24,000 cash on hand compared to Jo Rae Perkins’ roughly $1,000 as of late March, reinforces trader views of his stronger infrastructure against incumbent Sen. Jeff Merkley. Perkins maintains the second slot through name recognition from her 2020 and 2022 statewide nominations, though prior general-election defeats limit momentum. With ballots already mailed for the May 19 contest and no public polling available, the fragmented field of eight other candidates trails sharply, reflecting limited visibility and resources ahead of primary-day turnout.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon.

If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$90,706
結束日期
2026-05-19
市場開放時間
Dec 15, 2025, 8:07 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon. If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon. If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.State Sen. David Brock Smith holds the leading position in Oregon’s Republican U.S. Senate primary, driven by late-April and early-May endorsements from the Taxpayers Association of Oregon and conservative officials highlighting his anti-tax record and legislative work on wildfires and Measure 110 reform. Superior fundraising, with roughly $24,000 cash on hand compared to Jo Rae Perkins’ roughly $1,000 as of late March, reinforces trader views of his stronger infrastructure against incumbent Sen. Jeff Merkley. Perkins maintains the second slot through name recognition from her 2020 and 2022 statewide nominations, though prior general-election defeats limit momentum. With ballots already mailed for the May 19 contest and no public polling available, the fragmented field of eight other candidates trails sharply, reflecting limited visibility and resources ahead of primary-day turnout.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon.

If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$90,706
結束日期
2026-05-19
市場開放時間
Dec 15, 2025, 8:07 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon. If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"俄勒岡州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "大衛·布羅克·史密斯" at 65%, followed by "喬·芮·帕金斯" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 65¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "俄勒岡州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" has generated $90.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 16, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "俄勒岡州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "俄勒岡州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is "大衛·布羅克·史密斯" at 65%, meaning the market assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "喬·芮·帕金斯" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "俄勒岡州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.