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LA-05共和黨初選獲勝者

icon for LA-05共和黨初選獲勝者

LA-05共和黨初選獲勝者

Blake Miguez 21%

Michael Echols 5.5%

Rick Edmonds 1.4%

奧斯汀·麥吉 1.1%

Polymarket

$40,707 交易量

Blake Miguez 21%

Michael Echols 5.5%

Rick Edmonds 1.4%

奧斯汀·麥吉 1.1%

Polymarket

$40,707 交易量

Blake Miguez

$20,450 交易量

18%

Michael Echols

$10,241 交易量

5%

Rick Edmonds

$1,173 交易量

1%

奧斯汀·麥吉

$1,187 交易量

1%

Misti Cordell

$921 交易量

19%

薩繆爾·懷亞特

$5,839 交易量

1%

邁克爾·梅布魯爾

$896 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The crowded field of seven Republican candidates for Louisiana’s 5th Congressional District has kept probabilities tightly clustered, with Misti Cordell and Blake Miguez holding the narrowest leads in trader consensus. Miguez benefits from President Trump’s endorsement and a substantial fundraising advantage that includes several million dollars in cash on hand, yet he draws limited support outside his Acadiana base. Cordell and Michael Echols, both based in the Monroe area, maintain stronger local networks and institutional ties that offset their smaller war chests. Recent candidate forums on immigration, rural healthcare, and infrastructure have highlighted policy overlaps rather than clear differentiators, while shifting redistricting timelines and the move toward a November open primary have introduced additional uncertainty. No single development has yet consolidated support behind one contender.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$40,707
結束日期
2026-05-16
市場開放時間
Mar 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The crowded field of seven Republican candidates for Louisiana’s 5th Congressional District has kept probabilities tightly clustered, with Misti Cordell and Blake Miguez holding the narrowest leads in trader consensus. Miguez benefits from President Trump’s endorsement and a substantial fundraising advantage that includes several million dollars in cash on hand, yet he draws limited support outside his Acadiana base. Cordell and Michael Echols, both based in the Monroe area, maintain stronger local networks and institutional ties that offset their smaller war chests. Recent candidate forums on immigration, rural healthcare, and infrastructure have highlighted policy overlaps rather than clear differentiators, while shifting redistricting timelines and the move toward a November open primary have introduced additional uncertainty. No single development has yet consolidated support behind one contender.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$40,707
結束日期
2026-05-16
市場開放時間
Mar 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"LA-05共和黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Misti Cordell" at 19%, followed by "Blake Miguez" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 19¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "LA-05共和黨初選獲勝者" has generated $40.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "LA-05共和黨初選獲勝者," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "LA-05共和黨初選獲勝者" is "Misti Cordell" at 19%, meaning the market assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Blake Miguez" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "LA-05共和黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.