Trader consensus in this Ohio Republican primary market centers on Vivek Ramaswamy capturing 60-70 percent of the vote, reflecting his commanding position as the clear frontrunner. His visibility from the 2024 presidential race, combined with endorsements from prominent party leaders and substantial personal fundraising, has limited serious opposition and shaped expectations of a decisive win. Recent polls and early voting patterns reinforce this outlook, showing consistent double-digit leads over any challengers. A significant upset would require an unforeseen surge by a lesser-known opponent or a major late-breaking controversy that shifts voter sentiment, though neither appears probable based on the current trajectory.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於俄亥俄州州長共和黨初選:勝利邊際
Ramaswamy 60-70% 99.4%
拉馬斯瓦米 50-60% 6.0%
拉馬斯瓦米70%+ <1%
拉馬斯瓦米低於30% <1%
$66,212 交易量
$66,212 交易量
拉馬斯瓦米低於30%
<1%
拉馬斯瓦米 30-40%
<1%
拉馬斯瓦米 40-50%
<1%
拉馬斯瓦米 50-60%
6%
Ramaswamy 60-70%
99%
拉馬斯瓦米70%+
1%
其他
<1%
Ramaswamy 60-70% 99.4%
拉馬斯瓦米 50-60% 6.0%
拉馬斯瓦米70%+ <1%
拉馬斯瓦米低於30% <1%
$66,212 交易量
$66,212 交易量
拉馬斯瓦米低於30%
<1%
拉馬斯瓦米 30-40%
<1%
拉馬斯瓦米 40-50%
<1%
拉馬斯瓦米 50-60%
6%
Ramaswamy 60-70%
99%
拉馬斯瓦米70%+
1%
其他
<1%
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
市場開放時間: May 4, 2026, 4:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in this Ohio Republican primary market centers on Vivek Ramaswamy capturing 60-70 percent of the vote, reflecting his commanding position as the clear frontrunner. His visibility from the 2024 presidential race, combined with endorsements from prominent party leaders and substantial personal fundraising, has limited serious opposition and shaped expectations of a decisive win. Recent polls and early voting patterns reinforce this outlook, showing consistent double-digit leads over any challengers. A significant upset would require an unforeseen surge by a lesser-known opponent or a major late-breaking controversy that shifts voter sentiment, though neither appears probable based on the current trajectory.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions