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選舉·賓夕法尼亞州小學

PA-07民主黨初選獲勝者

icon for PA-07民主黨初選獲勝者
選舉·賓夕法尼亞州小學

PA-07民主黨初選獲勝者

Bob Brooks 79%

Carol Obando-Derstine 12.3%

Lamont McClure 6.6%

Ryan Crosswell 6.4%

Polymarket

$26,110 交易量

Bob Brooks 79%

Carol Obando-Derstine 12.3%

Lamont McClure 6.6%

Ryan Crosswell 6.4%

Polymarket

$26,110 交易量

Bob Brooks

$4,362 交易量

79%

Carol Obando-Derstine

$5,649 交易量

12%

Lamont McClure

$5,973 交易量

7%

Ryan Crosswell

$4,714 交易量

12%

Lewis Shupe

$3,265 交易量

<1%

Aiden Gonzalez

$2,147 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Bob Brooks dominates trader consensus at 79% implied probability to win Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District Democratic primary on May 19, propelled by recent endorsements from Governor Josh Shapiro and the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee on May 5, building on earlier backing from Senator Chris Murphy and labor groups like the Working Families Party. As president of the Pennsylvania Professional Fire Fighters Association, his working-class credentials resonate in the Lehigh Valley swing district, where an April Stronger Together tracking poll showed him leading likely voters. Fundraising edges and consolidated party support have positioned him ahead of Marine veteran and former prosecutor Ryan Crosswell (10.4%), engineer Carol Obando-Derstine (10.9%), ex-Northampton County Executive Lamont McClure (6.5%), and others, despite recent debates and minor controversies.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$26,110
結束日期
2026-05-19
市場開放時間
Mar 20, 2026, 1:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Bob Brooks dominates trader consensus at 79% implied probability to win Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District Democratic primary on May 19, propelled by recent endorsements from Governor Josh Shapiro and the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee on May 5, building on earlier backing from Senator Chris Murphy and labor groups like the Working Families Party. As president of the Pennsylvania Professional Fire Fighters Association, his working-class credentials resonate in the Lehigh Valley swing district, where an April Stronger Together tracking poll showed him leading likely voters. Fundraising edges and consolidated party support have positioned him ahead of Marine veteran and former prosecutor Ryan Crosswell (10.4%), engineer Carol Obando-Derstine (10.9%), ex-Northampton County Executive Lamont McClure (6.5%), and others, despite recent debates and minor controversies.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$26,110
結束日期
2026-05-19
市場開放時間
Mar 20, 2026, 1:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"PA-07民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Bob Brooks" at 79%, followed by "Carol Obando-Derstine" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 79¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "PA-07民主黨初選獲勝者" has generated $26.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "PA-07民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "PA-07民主黨初選獲勝者" is "Bob Brooks" at 79%, meaning the market assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Carol Obando-Derstine" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "PA-07民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.