Skip to main content
icon for 誰將從加州副州長初選中晉升?

誰將從加州副州長初選中晉升?

icon for 誰將從加州副州長初選中晉升?

誰將從加州副州長初選中晉升?

最新
2026-11-03
Polymarket

$378 交易量

Polymarket

Fiona Ma

$26 交易量

75%

David Fennell

$0 交易量

54%

Oliver Ma

$29 交易量

50%

Josh Fryday

$0 交易量

47%

David Collenberg

$1 交易量

44%

Jeyson Lopez

$70 交易量

6%

Ebie Lynch

$82 交易量

5%

Rakesh Christian

$56 交易量

5%

Sean Collinson

$109 交易量

3%

Janelle Kellman

$5 交易量

49%

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the Lieutenant Governor race in California in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The 2026 California lieutenant governor primary, set for June 2 under the state's top-two system, features a crowded field where the two highest vote-getters advance to the general election regardless of party. Leading Democratic contenders include state Treasurer Fiona Ma, who brings extensive statewide executive experience and strong fundraising; Josh Fryday, Governor Gavin Newsom's chief service officer with deep administration ties; and former Stockton Mayor Michael Tubbs, who emphasizes affordability and education access. Republican Gloria Romero, a former Democratic state senator who switched parties in 2024, rounds out the top tier. Low name recognition across candidates and limited polling—showing Ma and Fryday statistically tied among informed Democratic voters—have kept the race fluid, with recent voter-guide outreach and higher-education policy messaging shaping late momentum ahead of the June ballot.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the Lieutenant Governor race in California in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$378
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 7:42 PM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the Lieutenant Governor race in California in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the Lieutenant Governor race in California in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The 2026 California lieutenant governor primary, set for June 2 under the state's top-two system, features a crowded field where the two highest vote-getters advance to the general election regardless of party. Leading Democratic contenders include state Treasurer Fiona Ma, who brings extensive statewide executive experience and strong fundraising; Josh Fryday, Governor Gavin Newsom's chief service officer with deep administration ties; and former Stockton Mayor Michael Tubbs, who emphasizes affordability and education access. Republican Gloria Romero, a former Democratic state senator who switched parties in 2024, rounds out the top tier. Low name recognition across candidates and limited polling—showing Ma and Fryday statistically tied among informed Democratic voters—have kept the race fluid, with recent voter-guide outreach and higher-education policy messaging shaping late momentum ahead of the June ballot.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the Lieutenant Governor race in California in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$378
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 7:42 PM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the Lieutenant Governor race in California in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"誰將從加州副州長初選中晉升?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Fiona Ma" at 76%, followed by "David Fennell" at 54%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 76¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"誰將從加州副州長初選中晉升?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "誰將從加州副州長初選中晉升?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "誰將從加州副州長初選中晉升?" is "Fiona Ma" at 76%, meaning the market assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "David Fennell" at 54%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "誰將從加州副州長初選中晉升?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.