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政治·主要

AL-01共和黨初選獲勝者

icon for AL-01共和黨初選獲勝者
政治·主要

AL-01共和黨初選獲勝者

Jerry Carl 72%

奧斯汀·席德威爾 16.3%

瑞特·馬奎斯 8%

詹姆斯·迪斯 2.8%

Polymarket

$40,572 交易量

Jerry Carl 72%

奧斯汀·席德威爾 16.3%

瑞特·馬奎斯 8%

詹姆斯·迪斯 2.8%

Polymarket

$40,572 交易量

Jerry Carl

$1,208 交易量

69%

奧斯汀·席德威爾

$13,603 交易量

16%

瑞特·馬奎斯

$297 交易量

10%

詹姆斯·迪斯

$4,297 交易量

3%

詹姆斯·理查森

$5,651 交易量

2%

約書亞·麥基

$174 交易量

2%

約翰·米爾斯

$15,342 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former U.S. Rep. Jerry Carl leads Polymarket trader consensus at 67.5% to win Alabama's 1st Congressional District Republican primary on May 19, reflecting his polling edge—such as 25%-9% over State Rep. Rhett Marques in a recent survey—and fundraising advantage in Q1 reports, bolstered by name recognition from prior incumbency despite a crowded field splitting opposition votes. A Supreme Court ruling three days ago vacated a lower court block on Alabama's 2023 congressional map, clouding the race with potential nullification of primary results and a special election under revised boundaries, where Carl remains anchored in District 1 while some challengers like Joshua McKee shift districts. Marques holds 11% on cash reserves and occasional poll surges, with Austin Sidwell and others trailing amid undecided voters and forums highlighting GOP bona fides.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$40,572
結束日期
2026-05-19
市場開放時間
Mar 26, 2026, 4:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former U.S. Rep. Jerry Carl leads Polymarket trader consensus at 67.5% to win Alabama's 1st Congressional District Republican primary on May 19, reflecting his polling edge—such as 25%-9% over State Rep. Rhett Marques in a recent survey—and fundraising advantage in Q1 reports, bolstered by name recognition from prior incumbency despite a crowded field splitting opposition votes. A Supreme Court ruling three days ago vacated a lower court block on Alabama's 2023 congressional map, clouding the race with potential nullification of primary results and a special election under revised boundaries, where Carl remains anchored in District 1 while some challengers like Joshua McKee shift districts. Marques holds 11% on cash reserves and occasional poll surges, with Austin Sidwell and others trailing amid undecided voters and forums highlighting GOP bona fides.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$40,572
結束日期
2026-05-19
市場開放時間
Mar 26, 2026, 4:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"AL-01共和黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jerry Carl" at 69%, followed by "奧斯汀·席德威爾" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 69¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "AL-01共和黨初選獲勝者" has generated $40.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "AL-01共和黨初選獲勝者," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "AL-01共和黨初選獲勝者" is "Jerry Carl" at 69%, meaning the market assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "奧斯汀·席德威爾" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "AL-01共和黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.