Tom Steyer maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for the San Francisco-linked outcome in California's June 2, 2026, top-two gubernatorial primary due to his unmatched self-funding exceeding $200 million, extensive advertising blitz, and positioning as a climate-focused Democrat with broad name recognition from prior statewide efforts. Recent opposition spending targeting his record and policy details has not shifted the implied probability, while fragmented Democratic field dynamics and endorsements from environmental organizations have reinforced his frontrunner status among candidates tied to the Bay Area. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include late ballot counting shifts, unexpected vote consolidation among rivals like Xavier Becerra or Katie Porter, or unforeseen legal or eligibility challenges before final certification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Tom Steyer 97.0%
Steve Hilton 2.5%
Xavier Becerra <1%
Antonio Villaraigosa <1%
$9,369 交易量
$9,369 交易量
2026-06-02
Tom Steyer
97%
Steve Hilton
3%
Xavier Becerra
1%
Antonio Villaraigosa
<1%
Katie Porter
<1%
Chad Bianco
<1%
Matt Mahan
<1%
Tony Thurmond
<1%
Tom Steyer 97.0%
Steve Hilton 2.5%
Xavier Becerra <1%
Antonio Villaraigosa <1%
$9,369 交易量
$9,369 交易量
2026-06-02
Tom Steyer
$3,676 交易量
97%
Steve Hilton
$766 交易量
3%
Xavier Becerra
$2,116 交易量
1%
Antonio Villaraigosa
$1,065 交易量
<1%
Katie Porter
$616 交易量
<1%
Chad Bianco
$542 交易量
<1%
Matt Mahan
$277 交易量
<1%
Tony Thurmond
$311 交易量
<1%
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from the City and County of San Francisco in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Tom Steyer maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for the San Francisco-linked outcome in California's June 2, 2026, top-two gubernatorial primary due to his unmatched self-funding exceeding $200 million, extensive advertising blitz, and positioning as a climate-focused Democrat with broad name recognition from prior statewide efforts. Recent opposition spending targeting his record and policy details has not shifted the implied probability, while fragmented Democratic field dynamics and endorsements from environmental organizations have reinforced his frontrunner status among candidates tied to the Bay Area. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include late ballot counting shifts, unexpected vote consolidation among rivals like Xavier Becerra or Katie Porter, or unforeseen legal or eligibility challenges before final certification.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from the City and County of San Francisco in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from the City and County of San Francisco in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
市場開放時間： May 27, 2026, 10:25 PM ET
交易量
$9,369結束日期
2026-06-02市場開放時間
May 27, 2026, 10:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from the City and County of San Francisco in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Tom Steyer maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for the San Francisco-linked outcome in California's June 2, 2026, top-two gubernatorial primary due to his unmatched self-funding exceeding $200 million, extensive advertising blitz, and positioning as a climate-focused Democrat with broad name recognition from prior statewide efforts. Recent opposition spending targeting his record and policy details has not shifted the implied probability, while fragmented Democratic field dynamics and endorsements from environmental organizations have reinforced his frontrunner status among candidates tied to the Bay Area. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include late ballot counting shifts, unexpected vote consolidation among rivals like Xavier Becerra or Katie Porter, or unforeseen legal or eligibility challenges before final certification.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from the City and County of San Francisco in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from the City and County of San Francisco in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
交易量
$9,369結束日期
2026-06-02市場開放時間
May 27, 2026, 10:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tom Steyer maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for the San Francisco-linked outcome in California's June 2, 2026, top-two gubernatorial primary due to his unmatched self-funding exceeding $200 million, extensive advertising blitz, and positioning as a climate-focused Democrat with broad name recognition from prior statewide efforts. Recent opposition spending targeting his record and policy details has not shifted the implied probability, while fragmented Democratic field dynamics and endorsements from environmental organizations have reinforced his frontrunner status among candidates tied to the Bay Area. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include late ballot counting shifts, unexpected vote consolidation among rivals like Xavier Becerra or Katie Porter, or unforeseen legal or eligibility challenges before final certification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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