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icon for California Governor Primary Election: Orange County Winner

California Governor Primary Election: Orange County Winner

icon for California Governor Primary Election: Orange County Winner

California Governor Primary Election: Orange County Winner

Steve Hilton 97.5%

Matt Mahan 1.5%

Chad Bianco 1.3%

Xavier Becerra 1.2%

Polymarket

$4,766 交易量

Steve Hilton 97.5%

Matt Mahan 1.5%

Chad Bianco 1.3%

Xavier Becerra 1.2%

Polymarket

$4,766 交易量

Steve Hilton

$1,678 交易量

98%

Matt Mahan

$165 交易量

2%

Chad Bianco

$1,218 交易量

1%

Xavier Becerra

$766 交易量

1%

Katie Porter

$228 交易量

1%

Tony Thurmond

$200 交易量

1%

Tom Steyer

$217 交易量

1%

Antonio Villaraigosa

$294 交易量

<1%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Orange County in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Steve Hilton secured a commanding lead in Orange County during the June 2, 2026, top-two primary for California governor, capturing roughly 35% of the vote in a county with a Republican-leaning electorate and outperforming Democratic contenders including Xavier Becerra. His position as the primary Republican candidate, combined with endorsements and visibility from prior national media roles, consolidated support in suburban and conservative precincts where other listed contenders drew limited shares. Ongoing ballot counting and certification through mid-July introduce minor procedural uncertainty, though historical patterns in California primaries show late shifts rarely alter county-level outcomes once a candidate holds this margin.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Orange County in this primary election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
交易量
$4,766
結束日期
2026-06-02
市場開放時間
May 27, 2026, 10:25 PM ET
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Orange County in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Orange County in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Steve Hilton secured a commanding lead in Orange County during the June 2, 2026, top-two primary for California governor, capturing roughly 35% of the vote in a county with a Republican-leaning electorate and outperforming Democratic contenders including Xavier Becerra. His position as the primary Republican candidate, combined with endorsements and visibility from prior national media roles, consolidated support in suburban and conservative precincts where other listed contenders drew limited shares. Ongoing ballot counting and certification through mid-July introduce minor procedural uncertainty, though historical patterns in California primaries show late shifts rarely alter county-level outcomes once a candidate holds this margin.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Orange County in this primary election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
交易量
$4,766
結束日期
2026-06-02
市場開放時間
May 27, 2026, 10:25 PM ET
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Orange County in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"California Governor Primary Election: Orange County Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Steve Hilton" at 98%, followed by "Matt Mahan" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"California Governor Primary Election: Orange County Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 28, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "California Governor Primary Election: Orange County Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "California Governor Primary Election: Orange County Winner" is "Steve Hilton" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Matt Mahan" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "California Governor Primary Election: Orange County Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.