The Makerfield by-election, scheduled for 18 June 2026 following Labour MP Josh Simons’ resignation to enable Greater Manchester mayor Andy Burnham’s candidacy, features a contest dominated by Burnham and Reform UK’s local plumber Robert Kenyon. Recent Opinium polling shows Burnham holding a narrow lead among likely voters amid widespread local frustration with living costs, national politics, and the incumbent government. This dynamic has positioned Kenyon as the clear second-place favorite in trader assessments, reflecting Reform’s appeal in a traditionally Labour seat and the absence of competitive support for other candidates. Campaign developments, including focus groups highlighting voter cynicism and Burnham’s leadership ambitions, have reinforced expectations of a two-horse race where Reform consolidates as the main challenger.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Robert Kenyon 73%
Andy Burnham 22.4%
Rebecca Shepherd 4.8%
John Skipworth <1%
$148,233 交易量
$148,233 交易量
2026-06-18
Robert Kenyon
73%
Andy Burnham
22%
Rebecca Shepherd
5%
John Skipworth
<1%
Simon Finkelstein
<1%
Maria Deery
<1%
James Thomas Bryer
<1%
Robert Kenyon 73%
Andy Burnham 22.4%
Rebecca Shepherd 4.8%
John Skipworth <1%
$148,233 交易量
$148,233 交易量
2026-06-18
Robert Kenyon
$5,494 交易量
73%
Andy Burnham
$4,221 交易量
22%
Rebecca Shepherd
$133,985 交易量
5%
John Skipworth
$1,215 交易量
<1%
Simon Finkelstein
$1,374 交易量
<1%
Maria Deery
$788 交易量
<1%
James Thomas Bryer
$1,158 交易量
<1%
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).The Makerfield by-election, scheduled for 18 June 2026 following Labour MP Josh Simons’ resignation to enable Greater Manchester mayor Andy Burnham’s candidacy, features a contest dominated by Burnham and Reform UK’s local plumber Robert Kenyon. Recent Opinium polling shows Burnham holding a narrow lead among likely voters amid widespread local frustration with living costs, national politics, and the incumbent government. This dynamic has positioned Kenyon as the clear second-place favorite in trader assessments, reflecting Reform’s appeal in a traditionally Labour seat and the absence of competitive support for other candidates. Campaign developments, including focus groups highlighting voter cynicism and Burnham’s leadership ambitions, have reinforced expectations of a two-horse race where Reform consolidates as the main challenger.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
市場開放時間： May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ET
交易量
$148,233結束日期
2026-06-18市場開放時間
May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).The Makerfield by-election, scheduled for 18 June 2026 following Labour MP Josh Simons’ resignation to enable Greater Manchester mayor Andy Burnham’s candidacy, features a contest dominated by Burnham and Reform UK’s local plumber Robert Kenyon. Recent Opinium polling shows Burnham holding a narrow lead among likely voters amid widespread local frustration with living costs, national politics, and the incumbent government. This dynamic has positioned Kenyon as the clear second-place favorite in trader assessments, reflecting Reform’s appeal in a traditionally Labour seat and the absence of competitive support for other candidates. Campaign developments, including focus groups highlighting voter cynicism and Burnham’s leadership ambitions, have reinforced expectations of a two-horse race where Reform consolidates as the main challenger.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
交易量
$148,233結束日期
2026-06-18市場開放時間
May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Makerfield by-election, scheduled for 18 June 2026 following Labour MP Josh Simons’ resignation to enable Greater Manchester mayor Andy Burnham’s candidacy, features a contest dominated by Burnham and Reform UK’s local plumber Robert Kenyon. Recent Opinium polling shows Burnham holding a narrow lead among likely voters amid widespread local frustration with living costs, national politics, and the incumbent government. This dynamic has positioned Kenyon as the clear second-place favorite in trader assessments, reflecting Reform’s appeal in a traditionally Labour seat and the absence of competitive support for other candidates. Campaign developments, including focus groups highlighting voter cynicism and Burnham’s leadership ambitions, have reinforced expectations of a two-horse race where Reform consolidates as the main challenger.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions