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icon for MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner
政治·6月23日初級會

MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner
政治·6月23日初級會

MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner

格倫·艾維 97.0%

Joseph Gomes 15%

Jakeya Johnson 14%

強納森·懷特 14%

Polymarket
最新

格倫·艾維 97.0%

Joseph Gomes 15%

Jakeya Johnson 14%

強納森·懷特 14%

Polymarket
最新

格倫·艾維

$356 交易量

97%

Joseph Gomes

$45 交易量

15%

Jakeya Johnson

$90 交易量

14%

強納森·懷特

$50 交易量

14%

Shavonne Hedgepeth

$50 交易量

9%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Glenn Ivey holds a commanding lead in the MD-04 Democratic primary as the incumbent representative seeking renomination ahead of the June 23 contest in this solidly Democratic district. Trader consensus reflects his established position, prior primary victories with margins exceeding 80 percent, and the absence of well-funded or high-profile challengers capable of mounting a serious contest. The listed opponents, including Shavonne Hedgepeth, Joseph Gomes, Jakeya Johnson, and Jonathan White, register minimal implied support, consistent with limited name recognition and resources. A late-breaking development such as a significant personal or campaign issue for the incumbent or an unexpectedly strong coordinated effort by multiple challengers could narrow the gap, though no such catalysts have emerged in the current cycle.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$593
市場開放時間
Jun 10, 2026, 4:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Glenn Ivey holds a commanding lead in the MD-04 Democratic primary as the incumbent representative seeking renomination ahead of the June 23 contest in this solidly Democratic district. Trader consensus reflects his established position, prior primary victories with margins exceeding 80 percent, and the absence of well-funded or high-profile challengers capable of mounting a serious contest. The listed opponents, including Shavonne Hedgepeth, Joseph Gomes, Jakeya Johnson, and Jonathan White, register minimal implied support, consistent with limited name recognition and resources. A late-breaking development such as a significant personal or campaign issue for the incumbent or an unexpectedly strong coordinated effort by multiple challengers could narrow the gap, though no such catalysts have emerged in the current cycle.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$593
市場開放時間
Jun 10, 2026, 4:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "格倫·艾維" at 97%, followed by "Joseph Gomes" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner " is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 10, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner ," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner " is "格倫·艾維" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Joseph Gomes" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.