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MD-03 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MD-03 Democratic Primary Winner

MD-03 Democratic Primary Winner

Sarah Elfreth 96.5%

Jennifer Cross 74%

奧斯汀·戴克斯 73%

Robert Morrison 72%

Polymarket
最新

Sarah Elfreth 96.5%

Jennifer Cross 74%

奧斯汀·戴克斯 73%

Robert Morrison 72%

Polymarket
最新

Sarah Elfreth

$392 交易量

97%

Jennifer Cross

$0 交易量

74%

奧斯汀·戴克斯

$0 交易量

73%

Robert Morrison

$0 交易量

72%

Sean Hammond

$0 交易量

71%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Sarah Elfreth holds a commanding lead in the Maryland 3rd congressional district Democratic primary as the incumbent representative first elected in 2024. She filed paperwork for re-election and continues active legislative work on issues including defense authorization, watershed programs, and domestic violence prevention. The June 23 primary features multiple challengers, including Jennifer Cross, Austin Dyches, Sean Hammond, and Robert Morrison, yet none have mounted visible campaigns capable of shifting voter support. This positioning aligns with typical patterns for sitting members in safely Democratic districts facing limited opposition, with resolution tied to official primary results.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$392
市場開放時間
Jun 10, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Sarah Elfreth holds a commanding lead in the Maryland 3rd congressional district Democratic primary as the incumbent representative first elected in 2024. She filed paperwork for re-election and continues active legislative work on issues including defense authorization, watershed programs, and domestic violence prevention. The June 23 primary features multiple challengers, including Jennifer Cross, Austin Dyches, Sean Hammond, and Robert Morrison, yet none have mounted visible campaigns capable of shifting voter support. This positioning aligns with typical patterns for sitting members in safely Democratic districts facing limited opposition, with resolution tied to official primary results.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$392
市場開放時間
Jun 10, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"MD-03 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sarah Elfreth" at 97%, followed by "Jennifer Cross" at 37%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"MD-03 Democratic Primary Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 10, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "MD-03 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MD-03 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Sarah Elfreth" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jennifer Cross" at 37%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MD-03 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.