California Governor Primary Election: First Place

Name: California Governor Primary Election: First Place
Start: 2026-04-16T14:57:19.673Z
End: 2026-06-02T00:00:00.000Z

Xavier Becerra 47%

Tom Steyer 25%

Steve Hilton 23%

Chad Bianco 3.6%

$27,901 交易量

2026-06-02

Xavier Becerra

$7,632 交易量

47%

Tom Steyer

$4,763 交易量

25%

Steve Hilton

$3,637 交易量

23%

Chad Bianco

$1,124 交易量

Matt Mahan

$1,835 交易量

Katie Porter

$1,177 交易量

Nicki Minaj

$738 交易量

Raji Rab

$682 交易量

Derek Grasty

$761 交易量

<1%

Daniel Mercuri

$640 交易量

<1%

Thunder Parley

$505 交易量

<1%

Elaine Culotti

$551 交易量

<1%

Tony Thurmond

$629 交易量

<1%

Betty Yee

$658 交易量

<1%

Carolina Buhler

$615 交易量

<1%

Antonio Villaraigosa

$605 交易量

<1%

Leo Zacky

$682 交易量

<1%

Ramsey Robinson

$666 交易量

<1%

Xavier Becerra 47%

Tom Steyer 25%

Steve Hilton 23%

Chad Bianco 3.6%

$27,901 交易量

2026-06-02

Xavier Becerra

$7,632 交易量

47%

Tom Steyer

$4,763 交易量

25%

Steve Hilton

$3,637 交易量

23%

Chad Bianco

$1,124 交易量

Matt Mahan

$1,835 交易量

Katie Porter

$1,177 交易量

Nicki Minaj

$738 交易量

Raji Rab

$682 交易量

Derek Grasty

$761 交易量

<1%

Daniel Mercuri

$640 交易量

<1%

Thunder Parley

$505 交易量

<1%

Elaine Culotti

$551 交易量

<1%

Tony Thurmond

$629 交易量

<1%

Betty Yee

$658 交易量

<1%

Carolina Buhler

$615 交易量

<1%

Antonio Villaraigosa

$605 交易量

<1%

Leo Zacky

$682 交易量

<1%

Ramsey Robinson

$666 交易量

<1%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"California Governor Primary Election: First Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 18 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Xavier Becerra" at 47%, followed by "Tom Steyer" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 47¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "California Governor Primary Election: First Place" has generated $27.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "California Governor Primary Election: First Place," browse the 18 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "California Governor Primary Election: First Place" is "Xavier Becerra" at 47%, meaning the market assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tom Steyer" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "California Governor Primary Election: First Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "California Governor Primary Election: First Place." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $27.9K traded on “California Governor Primary Election: First Place,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "California Governor Primary Election: First Place," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 47¢ for "Xavier Becerra" in the "California Governor Primary Election: First Place" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 47% chance that "Xavier Becerra" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 47¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 53¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "California Governor Primary Election: First Place" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Jun 2, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "California Governor Primary Election: First Place" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "California Governor Primary Election: First Place." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

California Governor Primary Election: First Place

California Governor Primary Election: First Place

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Frequently Asked Questions

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