Xavier Becerra holds a narrow lead in the June 2, 2026, California top-two gubernatorial primary, with vote tallies showing him at roughly 28 percent ahead of Republican Steve Hilton at 25 percent and Democrat Tom Steyer at 22-23 percent. A crowded Democratic field that included Steyer, Katie Porter, and others split party support, enabling the two leading Republicans to remain competitive until late counting. Becerra’s support rose steadily in final polls amid endorsements and visibility, producing the current slim gap. Traders price a sub-5 percent Becerra margin at 96 percent because ongoing ballot processing has not produced larger separation, consistent with historical patterns in multi-candidate California primaries where the top two often finish within single digits. A late reversal in remaining urban or mail ballots could widen the spread, though current trends point to persistence of the tight result.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於貝塞拉 <5% 96%
貝塞拉5–10% 3.0%
貝塞拉10%以上 2.7%
希爾頓獲勝 1.0%
$31,307 交易量
$31,307 交易量
2026-06-02
貝塞拉10%以上
3%
貝塞拉5–10%
3%
貝塞拉 <5%
96%
斯泰爾5%+
<1%
Steyer 少於5%
<1%
希爾頓獲勝
1%
比安科勝出
<1%
貝塞拉 <5% 96%
貝塞拉5–10% 3.0%
貝塞拉10%以上 2.7%
希爾頓獲勝 1.0%
$31,307 交易量
$31,307 交易量
2026-06-02
貝塞拉10%以上
$6,413 交易量
3%
貝塞拉5–10%
$12,571 交易量
3%
貝塞拉 <5%
$5,270 交易量
96%
斯泰爾5%+
$1,486 交易量
<1%
Steyer 少於5%
$2,028 交易量
<1%
希爾頓獲勝
$2,867 交易量
1%
比安科勝出
$673 交易量
<1%
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Xavier Becerra holds a narrow lead in the June 2, 2026, California top-two gubernatorial primary, with vote tallies showing him at roughly 28 percent ahead of Republican Steve Hilton at 25 percent and Democrat Tom Steyer at 22-23 percent. A crowded Democratic field that included Steyer, Katie Porter, and others split party support, enabling the two leading Republicans to remain competitive until late counting. Becerra’s support rose steadily in final polls amid endorsements and visibility, producing the current slim gap. Traders price a sub-5 percent Becerra margin at 96 percent because ongoing ballot processing has not produced larger separation, consistent with historical patterns in multi-candidate California primaries where the top two often finish within single digits. A late reversal in remaining urban or mail ballots could widen the spread, though current trends point to persistence of the tight result.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
市場開放時間： May 28, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
交易量
$31,307結束日期
2026-06-02市場開放時間
May 28, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Xavier Becerra holds a narrow lead in the June 2, 2026, California top-two gubernatorial primary, with vote tallies showing him at roughly 28 percent ahead of Republican Steve Hilton at 25 percent and Democrat Tom Steyer at 22-23 percent. A crowded Democratic field that included Steyer, Katie Porter, and others split party support, enabling the two leading Republicans to remain competitive until late counting. Becerra’s support rose steadily in final polls amid endorsements and visibility, producing the current slim gap. Traders price a sub-5 percent Becerra margin at 96 percent because ongoing ballot processing has not produced larger separation, consistent with historical patterns in multi-candidate California primaries where the top two often finish within single digits. A late reversal in remaining urban or mail ballots could widen the spread, though current trends point to persistence of the tight result.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$31,307結束日期
2026-06-02市場開放時間
May 28, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Xavier Becerra holds a narrow lead in the June 2, 2026, California top-two gubernatorial primary, with vote tallies showing him at roughly 28 percent ahead of Republican Steve Hilton at 25 percent and Democrat Tom Steyer at 22-23 percent. A crowded Democratic field that included Steyer, Katie Porter, and others split party support, enabling the two leading Republicans to remain competitive until late counting. Becerra’s support rose steadily in final polls amid endorsements and visibility, producing the current slim gap. Traders price a sub-5 percent Becerra margin at 96 percent because ongoing ballot processing has not produced larger separation, consistent with historical patterns in multi-candidate California primaries where the top two often finish within single digits. A late reversal in remaining urban or mail ballots could widen the spread, though current trends point to persistence of the tight result.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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Frequently Asked Questions