Peru's transitional government under President José Jerí has explicitly ruled out presidential clemency for former President Pedro Castillo, with the Ministry of Justice declaring multiple pardon and humanitarian grace requests inadmissible, including the sixth submission in early 2026. Castillo's November 2025 conviction on rebellion charges, resulting in an 11-year prison sentence, combined with the absence of legislative or executive momentum for amnesty, has reinforced trader expectations that no qualifying grant of clemency will occur before the December 31, 2026, resolution date. Recent official statements from the presidency and justice authorities confirming no scheduled clemency proceedings continue to anchor the 82.5% implied probability on "No."
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-12-31
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Peru's transitional government under President José Jerí has explicitly ruled out presidential clemency for former President Pedro Castillo, with the Ministry of Justice declaring multiple pardon and humanitarian grace requests inadmissible, including the sixth submission in early 2026. Castillo's November 2025 conviction on rebellion charges, resulting in an 11-year prison sentence, combined with the absence of legislative or executive momentum for amnesty, has reinforced trader expectations that no qualifying grant of clemency will occur before the December 31, 2026, resolution date. Recent official statements from the presidency and justice authorities confirming no scheduled clemency proceedings continue to anchor the 82.5% implied probability on "No."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jun 9, 2026, 7:32 PM ET
交易量
$7,531結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jun 9, 2026, 7:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Peru's transitional government under President José Jerí has explicitly ruled out presidential clemency for former President Pedro Castillo, with the Ministry of Justice declaring multiple pardon and humanitarian grace requests inadmissible, including the sixth submission in early 2026. Castillo's November 2025 conviction on rebellion charges, resulting in an 11-year prison sentence, combined with the absence of legislative or executive momentum for amnesty, has reinforced trader expectations that no qualifying grant of clemency will occur before the December 31, 2026, resolution date. Recent official statements from the presidency and justice authorities confirming no scheduled clemency proceedings continue to anchor the 82.5% implied probability on "No."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$7,531結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jun 9, 2026, 7:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Peru's transitional government under President José Jerí has explicitly ruled out presidential clemency for former President Pedro Castillo, with the Ministry of Justice declaring multiple pardon and humanitarian grace requests inadmissible, including the sixth submission in early 2026. Castillo's November 2025 conviction on rebellion charges, resulting in an 11-year prison sentence, combined with the absence of legislative or executive momentum for amnesty, has reinforced trader expectations that no qualifying grant of clemency will occur before the December 31, 2026, resolution date. Recent official statements from the presidency and justice authorities confirming no scheduled clemency proceedings continue to anchor the 82.5% implied probability on "No."
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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