Skip to main content
icon for 洛杉磯市長選舉:重新計算第一輪?

洛杉磯市長選舉:重新計算第一輪?

icon for 洛杉磯市長選舉:重新計算第一輪?

洛杉磯市長選舉:重新計算第一輪?

9% 機率
Polymarket
最新

9% 機率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official recount of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is initiated by election authorities by July 15, 2026, 11:59 PM Pacific Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once election authorities order, schedule, or begin a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it. A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must cover enough ballots such that, if changed, it could affect which candidates will advance to the runoff. Minor administrative re-tallies and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant election authorities, including the city and county of Los Angeles.Incumbent Karen Bass maintains a clear lead in the June 2 first-round primary with over 34% of the vote, while Nithya Raman has secured second place ahead of Spencer Pratt by several thousand ballots after recent tallies reached 93-97% of expected votes. The substantial margins and ongoing but stabilizing count have produced no official recount requests, automatic triggers under California election procedures, or credible challenges from candidates or observers. Mail-in ballots continue to arrive through early June without altering the top-two advancement to the November runoff, reinforcing trader consensus against a recount.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official recount of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is initiated by election authorities by July 15, 2026, 11:59 PM Pacific Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once election authorities order, schedule, or begin a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it.

A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must cover enough ballots such that, if changed, it could affect which candidates will advance to the runoff.

Minor administrative re-tallies and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market.

The resolution source will be official information from the relevant election authorities, including the city and county of Los Angeles.
交易量
$1,235
結束日期
2026-07-15
市場開放時間
Jun 8, 2026, 8:40 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official recount of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is initiated by election authorities by July 15, 2026, 11:59 PM Pacific Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once election authorities order, schedule, or begin a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it. A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must cover enough ballots such that, if changed, it could affect which candidates will advance to the runoff. Minor administrative re-tallies and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant election authorities, including the city and county of Los Angeles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official recount of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is initiated by election authorities by July 15, 2026, 11:59 PM Pacific Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once election authorities order, schedule, or begin a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it. A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must cover enough ballots such that, if changed, it could affect which candidates will advance to the runoff. Minor administrative re-tallies and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant election authorities, including the city and county of Los Angeles.Incumbent Karen Bass maintains a clear lead in the June 2 first-round primary with over 34% of the vote, while Nithya Raman has secured second place ahead of Spencer Pratt by several thousand ballots after recent tallies reached 93-97% of expected votes. The substantial margins and ongoing but stabilizing count have produced no official recount requests, automatic triggers under California election procedures, or credible challenges from candidates or observers. Mail-in ballots continue to arrive through early June without altering the top-two advancement to the November runoff, reinforcing trader consensus against a recount.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official recount of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is initiated by election authorities by July 15, 2026, 11:59 PM Pacific Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once election authorities order, schedule, or begin a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it.

A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must cover enough ballots such that, if changed, it could affect which candidates will advance to the runoff.

Minor administrative re-tallies and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market.

The resolution source will be official information from the relevant election authorities, including the city and county of Los Angeles.
交易量
$1,235
結束日期
2026-07-15
市場開放時間
Jun 8, 2026, 8:40 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official recount of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is initiated by election authorities by July 15, 2026, 11:59 PM Pacific Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once election authorities order, schedule, or begin a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it. A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must cover enough ballots such that, if changed, it could affect which candidates will advance to the runoff. Minor administrative re-tallies and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant election authorities, including the city and county of Los Angeles.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"洛杉磯市長選舉:重新計算第一輪?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "洛杉磯市長選舉:第一輪重新計票?" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 9¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 9% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"洛杉磯市長選舉:重新計算第一輪?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "洛杉磯市長選舉:重新計算第一輪?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "洛杉磯市長選舉:重新計算第一輪?" is "洛杉磯市長選舉:第一輪重新計票?" at just 9%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "洛杉磯市長選舉:重新計算第一輪?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.