Trader consensus prices Civil Contract at 93.5% to win Armenia's June 7 parliamentary election under proportional representation, reflecting the incumbent party's sustained poll lead and opposition fragmentation revealed in the latest EVN Report/ArmES survey (April 1–May 2), where Civil Contract garnered 32.5% vote intention against Strong Armenia's 10.1% and others below 5%, with undecideds (39.5%) leaning incumbent via improved perceptions of economic progress (41.7% see gains), security (53.8% improved), and Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan's approval rising to 49%. Fragmented challengers like Armenia Alliance and Prosperous Armenia struggle to meet entry thresholds amid arrests of figures such as Strong Armenia's Samvel Karapetyan. PACE's May 11–12 pre-electoral visit urged no foreign interference and a level playing field. Upsets could stem from opposition vote consolidation, a late scandal, or disrupted turnout, though structural advantages favor Civil Contract securing the most seats.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於公民契約黨 94%
強大亞美尼亞 5.5%
亞美尼亞聯盟 <1%
繁榮亞美尼亞 <1%
$180,046 交易量
$180,046 交易量

公民契約黨
94%

強大亞美尼亞
5%

亞美尼亞聯盟
<1%

繁榮亞美尼亞
<1%

我有榮譽聯盟
<1%

亞美尼亞國民大會
<1%

光明亞美尼亞
<1%

Hanrapetutyun黨
<1%

民族遺產黨
<1%

奧瑞納茨·葉爾基爾
<1%
公民契約黨 94%
強大亞美尼亞 5.5%
亞美尼亞聯盟 <1%
繁榮亞美尼亞 <1%
$180,046 交易量
$180,046 交易量

公民契約黨
94%

強大亞美尼亞
5%

亞美尼亞聯盟
<1%

繁榮亞美尼亞
<1%

我有榮譽聯盟
<1%

亞美尼亞國民大會
<1%

光明亞美尼亞
<1%

Hanrapetutyun黨
<1%

民族遺產黨
<1%

奧瑞納茨·葉爾基爾
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
市場開放時間: Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Civil Contract at 93.5% to win Armenia's June 7 parliamentary election under proportional representation, reflecting the incumbent party's sustained poll lead and opposition fragmentation revealed in the latest EVN Report/ArmES survey (April 1–May 2), where Civil Contract garnered 32.5% vote intention against Strong Armenia's 10.1% and others below 5%, with undecideds (39.5%) leaning incumbent via improved perceptions of economic progress (41.7% see gains), security (53.8% improved), and Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan's approval rising to 49%. Fragmented challengers like Armenia Alliance and Prosperous Armenia struggle to meet entry thresholds amid arrests of figures such as Strong Armenia's Samvel Karapetyan. PACE's May 11–12 pre-electoral visit urged no foreign interference and a level playing field. Upsets could stem from opposition vote consolidation, a late scandal, or disrupted turnout, though structural advantages favor Civil Contract securing the most seats.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions