In Colombia’s June 21 presidential runoff, trader consensus prices the contest for most votes in Bogotá near even, reflecting the capital’s divided electorate between right-wing outsider Abelardo de la Espriella and leftist Iván Cepeda Castro. First-round results showed de la Espriella narrowly ahead nationally at 43.7 percent to Cepeda’s 40.9 percent, with both advancing after no candidate reached a majority. Bogotá’s urban voters, historically more receptive to center-left platforms yet responsive to security concerns, create a closely contested local dynamic. Recent endorsements from center-right figures and emphasis on crime policy have consolidated opposition support behind de la Espriella, while Cepeda retains backing from the Historic Pact coalition. The narrow national margin and competing turnout efforts in the capital keep implied probabilities balanced ahead of election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$38,599 交易量
$38,599 交易量

伊萬·塞佩達·卡斯特羅
49%

阿貝拉多·德拉·埃斯普里耶拉
47%
$38,599 交易量
$38,599 交易量

伊萬·塞佩達·卡斯特羅
49%

阿貝拉多·德拉·埃斯普里耶拉
47%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
市場開放時間: Jun 5, 2026, 3:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In Colombia’s June 21 presidential runoff, trader consensus prices the contest for most votes in Bogotá near even, reflecting the capital’s divided electorate between right-wing outsider Abelardo de la Espriella and leftist Iván Cepeda Castro. First-round results showed de la Espriella narrowly ahead nationally at 43.7 percent to Cepeda’s 40.9 percent, with both advancing after no candidate reached a majority. Bogotá’s urban voters, historically more receptive to center-left platforms yet responsive to security concerns, create a closely contested local dynamic. Recent endorsements from center-right figures and emphasis on crime policy have consolidated opposition support behind de la Espriella, while Cepeda retains backing from the Historic Pact coalition. The narrow national margin and competing turnout efforts in the capital keep implied probabilities balanced ahead of election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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