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icon for LA Mayoral Election: Spencer Pratt receives Over/Under 25%?

LA Mayoral Election: Spencer Pratt receives Over/Under 25%?

icon for LA Mayoral Election: Spencer Pratt receives Over/Under 25%?

LA Mayoral Election: Spencer Pratt receives Over/Under 25%?

Over

95% 機率
Polymarket
最新

Over

95% 機率
Polymarket
最新
The first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election was held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. This market will resolve to “Over” if Spencer Pratt receives greater than or equal to 25% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”. The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Spencer Pratt divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election. If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.With the June 2 Los Angeles mayoral primary now concluded and over 97% of ballots counted, Spencer Pratt has secured roughly 25.5% of the vote, placing third behind Karen Bass and Nithya Raman. This near-final tally, combined with late mail-in and provisional ballot trends showing minimal shifts, underpins trader consensus that he cleared the 25% threshold. Pratt’s campaign, launched after losing his home in the Palisades Fire and fueled by celebrity visibility plus dissatisfaction with city leadership, drew strong initial support in early returns before Raman surged ahead during counting. The market reflects this established outcome rather than pre-election polling volatility, though any remaining uncounted ballots could theoretically adjust the precise percentage.

The first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election was held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California.

This market will resolve to “Over” if Spencer Pratt receives greater than or equal to 25% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”.

The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Spencer Pratt divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.

If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
交易量
$1,771
結束日期
2026-11-04
市場開放時間
Jun 7, 2026, 3:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election was held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. This market will resolve to “Over” if Spencer Pratt receives greater than or equal to 25% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”. The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Spencer Pratt divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election. If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
The first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election was held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. This market will resolve to “Over” if Spencer Pratt receives greater than or equal to 25% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”. The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Spencer Pratt divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election. If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.With the June 2 Los Angeles mayoral primary now concluded and over 97% of ballots counted, Spencer Pratt has secured roughly 25.5% of the vote, placing third behind Karen Bass and Nithya Raman. This near-final tally, combined with late mail-in and provisional ballot trends showing minimal shifts, underpins trader consensus that he cleared the 25% threshold. Pratt’s campaign, launched after losing his home in the Palisades Fire and fueled by celebrity visibility plus dissatisfaction with city leadership, drew strong initial support in early returns before Raman surged ahead during counting. The market reflects this established outcome rather than pre-election polling volatility, though any remaining uncounted ballots could theoretically adjust the precise percentage.

The first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election was held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California.

This market will resolve to “Over” if Spencer Pratt receives greater than or equal to 25% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”.

The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Spencer Pratt divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.

If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
交易量
$1,771
結束日期
2026-11-04
市場開放時間
Jun 7, 2026, 3:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election was held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. This market will resolve to “Over” if Spencer Pratt receives greater than or equal to 25% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”. The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Spencer Pratt divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election. If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"LA Mayoral Election: Spencer Pratt receives Over/Under 25%?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "LA Mayoral Election: Spencer Pratt receives Over/Under 25%?" at 95%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"LA Mayoral Election: Spencer Pratt receives Over/Under 25%?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 7, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "LA Mayoral Election: Spencer Pratt receives Over/Under 25%?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "LA Mayoral Election: Spencer Pratt receives Over/Under 25%?" is "LA Mayoral Election: Spencer Pratt receives Over/Under 25%?" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "LA Mayoral Election: Spencer Pratt receives Over/Under 25%?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.