Spencer Pratt placed third in the June 2, 2026, Los Angeles mayoral primary after leading for second place on election night, as additional mail-in ballots shifted the outcome to favor Nithya Raman for the runoff against incumbent Karen Bass. Pratt has not issued a formal concession and has posted suggestions of irregularities without evidence, while remaining silent on broader results. Related prediction markets price a high probability of concession by early July but lower odds for mid-June, reflecting the absence of a viable recount path or legal challenge under city rules. No major scheduled events remain in the immediate resolution window beyond ongoing ballot certification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月10日
9%
6月15日
41%
7月2日
64%
$3,177 交易量
6月10日
9%
6月15日
41%
7月2日
64%
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections, will not be the next Mayor of Los Angeles, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
市場開放時間: Jun 8, 2026, 1:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections, will not be the next Mayor of Los Angeles, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Spencer Pratt placed third in the June 2, 2026, Los Angeles mayoral primary after leading for second place on election night, as additional mail-in ballots shifted the outcome to favor Nithya Raman for the runoff against incumbent Karen Bass. Pratt has not issued a formal concession and has posted suggestions of irregularities without evidence, while remaining silent on broader results. Related prediction markets price a high probability of concession by early July but lower odds for mid-June, reflecting the absence of a viable recount path or legal challenge under city rules. No major scheduled events remain in the immediate resolution window beyond ongoing ballot certification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions