Economic dissatisfaction with living costs, unemployment, and power shortages stands as the main driver keeping expected turnout in the moderate range for Zambia’s August 13 presidential first round. Record registration of 8.78 million voters reflects ECZ outreach and prior extensions, yet surveys show polarized trust in the process and 32 percent undecided or unwilling to state preferences, factors that historically correlate with participation near or below the long-term average. Incumbent Hakainde Hichilema’s lead and opposition fragmentation may limit broad mobilization, while youth engagement and campaign intensity in the coming weeks could still lift or depress overall rates depending on how economic messaging resonates with registered voters.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於50-60% 32%
60-70% 26%
70-80% 18%
低於50% 12%
$17,704 交易量
$17,704 交易量
2026-08-14
低於50%
12%
50-60%
32%
60-70%
26%
70-80%
18%
80%以上
9%
50-60% 32%
60-70% 26%
70-80% 18%
低於50% 12%
$17,704 交易量
$17,704 交易量
2026-08-14
低於50%
$3,587 交易量
12%
50-60%
$3,988 交易量
32%
60-70%
$6,091 交易量
26%
70-80%
$1,270 交易量
18%
80%以上
$2,767 交易量
9%
The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).Economic dissatisfaction with living costs, unemployment, and power shortages stands as the main driver keeping expected turnout in the moderate range for Zambia’s August 13 presidential first round. Record registration of 8.78 million voters reflects ECZ outreach and prior extensions, yet surveys show polarized trust in the process and 32 percent undecided or unwilling to state preferences, factors that historically correlate with participation near or below the long-term average. Incumbent Hakainde Hichilema’s lead and opposition fragmentation may limit broad mobilization, while youth engagement and campaign intensity in the coming weeks could still lift or depress overall rates depending on how economic messaging resonates with registered voters.
The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
市場開放時間： Jun 5, 2026, 4:09 PM ET
交易量
$17,704結束日期
2026-08-14市場開放時間
Jun 5, 2026, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).Economic dissatisfaction with living costs, unemployment, and power shortages stands as the main driver keeping expected turnout in the moderate range for Zambia’s August 13 presidential first round. Record registration of 8.78 million voters reflects ECZ outreach and prior extensions, yet surveys show polarized trust in the process and 32 percent undecided or unwilling to state preferences, factors that historically correlate with participation near or below the long-term average. Incumbent Hakainde Hichilema’s lead and opposition fragmentation may limit broad mobilization, while youth engagement and campaign intensity in the coming weeks could still lift or depress overall rates depending on how economic messaging resonates with registered voters.
The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
交易量
$17,704結束日期
2026-08-14市場開放時間
Jun 5, 2026, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Economic dissatisfaction with living costs, unemployment, and power shortages stands as the main driver keeping expected turnout in the moderate range for Zambia’s August 13 presidential first round. Record registration of 8.78 million voters reflects ECZ outreach and prior extensions, yet surveys show polarized trust in the process and 32 percent undecided or unwilling to state preferences, factors that historically correlate with participation near or below the long-term average. Incumbent Hakainde Hichilema’s lead and opposition fragmentation may limit broad mobilization, while youth engagement and campaign intensity in the coming weeks could still lift or depress overall rates depending on how economic messaging resonates with registered voters.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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