Keiko Fujimori holds a narrow lead in Peru’s June 7 presidential runoff against Roberto Sánchez, with roughly 98.5% of ballots counted showing her ahead by under 2,000 votes out of nearly 18 million cast. Traders assign overwhelming probability to a final 0–4% Fujimori margin because overseas and urban-coastal votes, which strongly favor the conservative Popular Force candidate, remain disproportionately uncounted while rural Andean tallies continue to bolster Sánchez. Ongoing review of contested tally sheets from over 1,600 polling stations introduces limited uncertainty but is unlikely to reverse the outcome given historical patterns and the small remaining pool. This positioning reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing a race defined by deep geographic polarization rather than any decisive late swing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Fujimori 0–4% 98.3%
Sánchez 0–4% <1%
Fujimori 12%+ <1%
Fujimori 8–12% <1%
$1,048,827 交易量
$1,048,827 交易量
2026-06-07
Fujimori 12%+
<1%
Fujimori 8–12%
<1%
Fujimori 4–8%
<1%
Fujimori 0–4%
98%
Sánchez 0–4%
1%
Sánchez 4–8%
<1%
Sánchez 8–12%
<1%
Sánchez 12%+
<1%
Fujimori 0–4% 98.3%
Sánchez 0–4% <1%
Fujimori 12%+ <1%
Fujimori 8–12% <1%
$1,048,827 交易量
$1,048,827 交易量
2026-06-07
Fujimori 12%+
$70,174 交易量
<1%
Fujimori 8–12%
$60,207 交易量
<1%
Fujimori 4–8%
$153,459 交易量
<1%
Fujimori 0–4%
$297,491 交易量
98%
Sánchez 0–4%
$313,159 交易量
1%
Sánchez 4–8%
$84,864 交易量
<1%
Sánchez 8–12%
$38,513 交易量
<1%
Sánchez 12%+
$30,961 交易量
<1%
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Keiko Fujimori holds a narrow lead in Peru’s June 7 presidential runoff against Roberto Sánchez, with roughly 98.5% of ballots counted showing her ahead by under 2,000 votes out of nearly 18 million cast. Traders assign overwhelming probability to a final 0–4% Fujimori margin because overseas and urban-coastal votes, which strongly favor the conservative Popular Force candidate, remain disproportionately uncounted while rural Andean tallies continue to bolster Sánchez. Ongoing review of contested tally sheets from over 1,600 polling stations introduces limited uncertainty but is unlikely to reverse the outcome given historical patterns and the small remaining pool. This positioning reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing a race defined by deep geographic polarization rather than any decisive late swing.
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
市場開放時間： May 21, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
交易量
$1,048,827結束日期
2026-06-07市場開放時間
May 21, 2026, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Keiko Fujimori holds a narrow lead in Peru’s June 7 presidential runoff against Roberto Sánchez, with roughly 98.5% of ballots counted showing her ahead by under 2,000 votes out of nearly 18 million cast. Traders assign overwhelming probability to a final 0–4% Fujimori margin because overseas and urban-coastal votes, which strongly favor the conservative Popular Force candidate, remain disproportionately uncounted while rural Andean tallies continue to bolster Sánchez. Ongoing review of contested tally sheets from over 1,600 polling stations introduces limited uncertainty but is unlikely to reverse the outcome given historical patterns and the small remaining pool. This positioning reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing a race defined by deep geographic polarization rather than any decisive late swing.
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$1,048,827結束日期
2026-06-07市場開放時間
May 21, 2026, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Keiko Fujimori holds a narrow lead in Peru’s June 7 presidential runoff against Roberto Sánchez, with roughly 98.5% of ballots counted showing her ahead by under 2,000 votes out of nearly 18 million cast. Traders assign overwhelming probability to a final 0–4% Fujimori margin because overseas and urban-coastal votes, which strongly favor the conservative Popular Force candidate, remain disproportionately uncounted while rural Andean tallies continue to bolster Sánchez. Ongoing review of contested tally sheets from over 1,600 polling stations introduces limited uncertainty but is unlikely to reverse the outcome given historical patterns and the small remaining pool. This positioning reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing a race defined by deep geographic polarization rather than any decisive late swing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions