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政治·主要

PA-03民主黨初選獲勝者

icon for PA-03民主黨初選獲勝者
政治·主要

PA-03民主黨初選獲勝者

Chris Rabb 60.9%

Sharif Street 43%

阿拉·斯坦福 3.0%

大衛·奧克斯曼 <1%

Polymarket

$48,311 交易量

Chris Rabb 60.9%

Sharif Street 43%

阿拉·斯坦福 3.0%

大衛·奧克斯曼 <1%

Polymarket

$48,311 交易量

Chris Rabb

$10,608 交易量

57%

Sharif Street

$12,096 交易量

43%

阿拉·斯坦福

$6,171 交易量

3%

大衛·奧克斯曼

$6,499 交易量

1%

摩根·塞法斯

$3,073 交易量

<1%

Gabriel Caceres

$5,165 交易量

<1%

Robin Toldens

$4,699 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Recent momentum in Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary has shifted trader consensus toward state Rep. Chris Rabb at 57 percent, driven by his progressive positioning and national endorsements that have energized younger and left-leaning voters ahead of the May 19 vote. State Sen. Sharif Street, at 42.5 percent, maintains strong labor backing and name recognition as a former state party chair, yet appears to trail amid limited public polling and debate over fundraising approaches. Dr. Ala Stanford trails sharply at 3.4 percent despite targeted PAC support, while the remaining candidates register negligible shares. The open seat, following U.S. Rep. Dwight Evans's retirement, has narrowed to these frontrunners, with divisions on issues like Gaza policy and campaign style shaping late-stage dynamics in this heavily Democratic Philadelphia district.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$48,311
結束日期
2026-05-19
市場開放時間
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Recent momentum in Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary has shifted trader consensus toward state Rep. Chris Rabb at 57 percent, driven by his progressive positioning and national endorsements that have energized younger and left-leaning voters ahead of the May 19 vote. State Sen. Sharif Street, at 42.5 percent, maintains strong labor backing and name recognition as a former state party chair, yet appears to trail amid limited public polling and debate over fundraising approaches. Dr. Ala Stanford trails sharply at 3.4 percent despite targeted PAC support, while the remaining candidates register negligible shares. The open seat, following U.S. Rep. Dwight Evans's retirement, has narrowed to these frontrunners, with divisions on issues like Gaza policy and campaign style shaping late-stage dynamics in this heavily Democratic Philadelphia district.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$48,311
結束日期
2026-05-19
市場開放時間
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"PA-03民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Chris Rabb" at 57%, followed by "Sharif Street" at 43%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 57¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "PA-03民主黨初選獲勝者" has generated $48.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "PA-03民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "PA-03民主黨初選獲勝者" is "Chris Rabb" at 57%, meaning the market assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sharif Street" at 43%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "PA-03民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.