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選舉·西班牙

選舉後的安達盧西亞總統？

icon for 選舉後的安達盧西亞總統？
選舉·西班牙

選舉後的安達盧西亞總統？

Juanma Moreno 99.0%

María Jesús Montero <1%

Manuel Gavira <1%

Antonio Maíllo <1%

Polymarket

$177,645 交易量

Juanma Moreno 99.0%

María Jesús Montero <1%

Manuel Gavira <1%

Antonio Maíllo <1%

Polymarket

$177,645 交易量

icon for Juanma Moreno

Juanma Moreno

$11,072 交易量

99%

icon for María Jesús Montero

María Jesús Montero

$6,819 交易量

1%

icon for Manuel Gavira

Manuel Gavira

$4,983 交易量

<1%

icon for Antonio Maíllo

Antonio Maíllo

$151,043 交易量

<1%

icon for José Ignacio García

José Ignacio García

$3,728 交易量

<1%

Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election. This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count. If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Juanma Moreno maintains a dominant position as the leading candidate for President of Andalusia, reflecting his status as the incumbent head of the regional government and sustained advantages in polling trends across the autonomous community. Traders appear to factor in the Partido Popular's established base, effective management of regional priorities such as economic development and infrastructure, and the fragmented opposition landscape involving the PSOE and smaller parties. This consensus aligns with historical patterns of incumbent strength in Spanish regional elections. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include late-campaign developments, unexpected turnout variations in key provinces, or complex coalition negotiations should no party achieve an outright majority in the parliament.

Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election.

This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count.

If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$177,645
結束日期
2026-05-17
市場開放時間
Apr 16, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election. This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count. If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election. This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count. If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Juanma Moreno maintains a dominant position as the leading candidate for President of Andalusia, reflecting his status as the incumbent head of the regional government and sustained advantages in polling trends across the autonomous community. Traders appear to factor in the Partido Popular's established base, effective management of regional priorities such as economic development and infrastructure, and the fragmented opposition landscape involving the PSOE and smaller parties. This consensus aligns with historical patterns of incumbent strength in Spanish regional elections. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include late-campaign developments, unexpected turnout variations in key provinces, or complex coalition negotiations should no party achieve an outright majority in the parliament.

Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election.

This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count.

If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$177,645
結束日期
2026-05-17
市場開放時間
Apr 16, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election. This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count. If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"選舉後的安達盧西亞總統？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Juanma Moreno" at 99%, followed by "María Jesús Montero" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "選舉後的安達盧西亞總統？" has generated $177.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "選舉後的安達盧西亞總統？," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "選舉後的安達盧西亞總統？" is "Juanma Moreno" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "María Jesús Montero" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "選舉後的安達盧西亞總統？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.