Cilia Flores has remained in U.S. federal pretrial detention at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since her January 3, 2026 capture alongside Nicolás Maduro during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. She and Maduro face narco-terrorism and drug-trafficking charges stemming from a 2020 indictment, with both entering not guilty pleas in January and July 2026 hearings. A federal judge set their joint trial for June 1, 2027, after rejecting immediate bail requests and deferring immunity arguments. Key variables for any release include pretrial motions, potential plea negotiations, diplomatic developments between the U.S. and Venezuelan authorities, or executive actions, though no scheduled events before the 2027 trial date point to near-term changes in custody status. Trader odds reflect the extended timeline and procedural barriers typical in high-profile extraterritorial cases.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$1,375,004 交易量
12月31日
16%
$1,375,004 交易量
12月31日
16%
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Cilia Flores has remained in U.S. federal pretrial detention at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since her January 3, 2026 capture alongside Nicolás Maduro during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. She and Maduro face narco-terrorism and drug-trafficking charges stemming from a 2020 indictment, with both entering not guilty pleas in January and July 2026 hearings. A federal judge set their joint trial for June 1, 2027, after rejecting immediate bail requests and deferring immunity arguments. Key variables for any release include pretrial motions, potential plea negotiations, diplomatic developments between the U.S. and Venezuelan authorities, or executive actions, though no scheduled events before the 2027 trial date point to near-term changes in custody status. Trader odds reflect the extended timeline and procedural barriers typical in high-profile extraterritorial cases.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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