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政治·中國

特朗普-習近平峯會：特朗普將在5月22日前宣布什麼？

icon for 特朗普-習近平峯會：特朗普將在5月22日前宣布什麼？
政治·中國

特朗普-習近平峯會：特朗普將在5月22日前宣布什麼？

$130,941 交易量

2026-05-22
Polymarket

$130,941 交易量

Polymarket

減少關稅

$47,127 交易量

19%

美中人工智能安全渠道

$4,550 交易量

5%

被拘留美國人釋放

$4,897 交易量

7%

美中貿易委員會

$7,390 交易量

54%

暫停對台軍售

$21,859 交易量

6%

人工智慧出口限制放寬

$18,514 交易量

10%

新制裁

$29,651 交易量

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a reduction, removal, or suspension of any existing tariffs on China between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only tariff reductions specifically announced in relation to China, goods from China, or a specific set of countries including China will qualify. For example, an announced reduction in global tariffs will not count toward this market’s resolution. Only definitive announcements qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Tariff reductions, removals, or suspensions announced as part of a mutual agreement or deal between the United States and China will qualify. Any qualifying action announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the tariff reduction, removal, or suspension goes into effect. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a U.S.-China AI safety channel between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A "U.S.-China AI safety channel" refers to the establishment of a communication channel, dialogue, or alternative formal communication mechanism between China and the United States concerning AI safety, AI risk, AI governance, or equivalent issues. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced action goes into effect. The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump announces that one or more U.S. citizens detained in China will be released between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the release actually occurs. The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump announces the establishment of a U.S.-China Board of Trade between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “U.S.-China Board of Trade” refers to a new formal board, body, council, dialogue or equivalent mechanism established between the United States and China for the purpose of managing, coordinating, expanding, or reviewing trade between the two countries. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the Board of Trade is actually established. The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a halt, suspension, cancellation, or prohibition on any arms sales or military equipment transfers to Taiwan between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must specifically refer to the transfer of arms, weapons, munitions, military equipment, or substantially equivalent military goods from the United States to Taiwan. A qualifying announcement may apply to all such transfers to Taiwan or only to specified categories of arms, weapons or military equipment. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Halts, suspensions, cancellations, or prohibitions on arms sales or military equipment transfers announced as part of a mutual agreement or deal between the United States and China will qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced action goes into effect. The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration officially announces any reduction, suspension, exemption, or other relief from U.S. export restrictions on artificial intelligence chips, advanced computing chips, semiconductor manufacturing equipment, or other AI-related technology exports to China between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that US export restrictions on AI-related technologies will be suspended, reduced, exempted, or otherwise substantively relaxed. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Reductions, suspensions, exemptions, or other relief from export restrictions announced as part of a mutual agreement or deal between the United States and China will qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect. The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the Trump administration officially announces any new sanctions of any form against China between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Sanctions could include measures like new or increased tariffs, trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions. Sanctions against Chinese citizens or entities which do not directly target the Chinese state or members of the Chinese government will not qualify. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of when or whether or when the announced sanctions go into effect. The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. The recent Trump-Xi summit in Beijing concluded with both leaders highlighting stabilized bilateral ties and a continued trade truce, though without major new agreements on Taiwan security, Iran-related energy issues, or technology restrictions. Trump emphasized personal rapport and future cooperation, including plans for a reciprocal visit this fall, while Xi stressed strategic stability and warned against escalation risks. These developments, occurring amid ongoing Middle East tensions and U.S. business delegation involvement, shape trader focus on any follow-up announcements Trump may issue before May 22 regarding trade measures, diplomatic positioning, or policy signals. Scheduled events like potential White House briefings or congressional updates could influence outcomes, reflecting the market's emphasis on verifiable post-summit actions within the short resolution window.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a reduction, removal, or suspension of any existing tariffs on China between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only tariff reductions specifically announced in relation to China, goods from China, or a specific set of countries including China will qualify. For example, an announced reduction in global tariffs will not count toward this market’s resolution.

Only definitive announcements qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.

Tariff reductions, removals, or suspensions announced as part of a mutual agreement or deal between the United States and China will qualify.

Any qualifying action announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the tariff reduction, removal, or suspension goes into effect.

This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$130,941
結束日期
2026-05-22
市場開放時間
May 11, 2026, 8:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a reduction, removal, or suspension of any existing tariffs on China between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only tariff reductions specifically announced in relation to China, goods from China, or a specific set of countries including China will qualify. For example, an announced reduction in global tariffs will not count toward this market’s resolution. Only definitive announcements qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Tariff reductions, removals, or suspensions announced as part of a mutual agreement or deal between the United States and China will qualify. Any qualifying action announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the tariff reduction, removal, or suspension goes into effect. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a reduction, removal, or suspension of any existing tariffs on China between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only tariff reductions specifically announced in relation to China, goods from China, or a specific set of countries including China will qualify. For example, an announced reduction in global tariffs will not count toward this market’s resolution. Only definitive announcements qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Tariff reductions, removals, or suspensions announced as part of a mutual agreement or deal between the United States and China will qualify. Any qualifying action announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the tariff reduction, removal, or suspension goes into effect. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a U.S.-China AI safety channel between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A "U.S.-China AI safety channel" refers to the establishment of a communication channel, dialogue, or alternative formal communication mechanism between China and the United States concerning AI safety, AI risk, AI governance, or equivalent issues. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced action goes into effect. The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump announces that one or more U.S. citizens detained in China will be released between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the release actually occurs. The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump announces the establishment of a U.S.-China Board of Trade between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “U.S.-China Board of Trade” refers to a new formal board, body, council, dialogue or equivalent mechanism established between the United States and China for the purpose of managing, coordinating, expanding, or reviewing trade between the two countries. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the Board of Trade is actually established. The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a halt, suspension, cancellation, or prohibition on any arms sales or military equipment transfers to Taiwan between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must specifically refer to the transfer of arms, weapons, munitions, military equipment, or substantially equivalent military goods from the United States to Taiwan. A qualifying announcement may apply to all such transfers to Taiwan or only to specified categories of arms, weapons or military equipment. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Halts, suspensions, cancellations, or prohibitions on arms sales or military equipment transfers announced as part of a mutual agreement or deal between the United States and China will qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced action goes into effect. The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration officially announces any reduction, suspension, exemption, or other relief from U.S. export restrictions on artificial intelligence chips, advanced computing chips, semiconductor manufacturing equipment, or other AI-related technology exports to China between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that US export restrictions on AI-related technologies will be suspended, reduced, exempted, or otherwise substantively relaxed. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Reductions, suspensions, exemptions, or other relief from export restrictions announced as part of a mutual agreement or deal between the United States and China will qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect. The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the Trump administration officially announces any new sanctions of any form against China between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Sanctions could include measures like new or increased tariffs, trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions. Sanctions against Chinese citizens or entities which do not directly target the Chinese state or members of the Chinese government will not qualify. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of when or whether or when the announced sanctions go into effect. The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. The recent Trump-Xi summit in Beijing concluded with both leaders highlighting stabilized bilateral ties and a continued trade truce, though without major new agreements on Taiwan security, Iran-related energy issues, or technology restrictions. Trump emphasized personal rapport and future cooperation, including plans for a reciprocal visit this fall, while Xi stressed strategic stability and warned against escalation risks. These developments, occurring amid ongoing Middle East tensions and U.S. business delegation involvement, shape trader focus on any follow-up announcements Trump may issue before May 22 regarding trade measures, diplomatic positioning, or policy signals. Scheduled events like potential White House briefings or congressional updates could influence outcomes, reflecting the market's emphasis on verifiable post-summit actions within the short resolution window.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a reduction, removal, or suspension of any existing tariffs on China between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only tariff reductions specifically announced in relation to China, goods from China, or a specific set of countries including China will qualify. For example, an announced reduction in global tariffs will not count toward this market’s resolution.

Only definitive announcements qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.

Tariff reductions, removals, or suspensions announced as part of a mutual agreement or deal between the United States and China will qualify.

Any qualifying action announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the tariff reduction, removal, or suspension goes into effect.

This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$130,941
結束日期
2026-05-22
市場開放時間
May 11, 2026, 8:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a reduction, removal, or suspension of any existing tariffs on China between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only tariff reductions specifically announced in relation to China, goods from China, or a specific set of countries including China will qualify. For example, an announced reduction in global tariffs will not count toward this market’s resolution. Only definitive announcements qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Tariff reductions, removals, or suspensions announced as part of a mutual agreement or deal between the United States and China will qualify. Any qualifying action announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the tariff reduction, removal, or suspension goes into effect. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"特朗普-習近平峯會：特朗普將在5月22日前宣布什麼？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "美中貿易委員會" at 54%, followed by "減少關稅" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 54¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "特朗普-習近平峯會：特朗普將在5月22日前宣布什麼？" has generated $130.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "特朗普-習近平峯會：特朗普將在5月22日前宣布什麼？," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "特朗普-習近平峯會：特朗普將在5月22日前宣布什麼？" is "美中貿易委員會" at 54%, meaning the market assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "減少關稅" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "特朗普-習近平峯會：特朗普將在5月22日前宣布什麼？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.