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icon for 普京會在5月31日前訪問中國嗎?

普京會在5月31日前訪問中國嗎?

icon for 普京會在5月31日前訪問中國嗎?

普京會在5月31日前訪問中國嗎?

98% 機率
Polymarket

$184,261 交易量

98% 機率
Polymarket

$184,261 交易量

If Vladimir Putin visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov confirmed on May 14 that preparations for Russian President Vladimir Putin's visit to China are complete and will occur very soon, propelling trader consensus to 98.5% implied probability for Yes by May 31. Reports from the South China Morning Post and others specify a one-day trip to Beijing on May 20, timed just after the Xi-Trump summit, underscoring deepening bilateral diplomacy amid global tensions. This near-certain pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds betting on strong Russia-China strategic coordination, with historical patterns of reliable high-level summits. Realistic disruptors remain slim but include sudden health issues for Putin, escalations in Ukraine, or unforeseen diplomatic crises altering schedules.

If Vladimir Putin visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$184,261
結束日期
2026-05-31
市場開放時間
Apr 1, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
If Vladimir Putin visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Vladimir Putin visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov confirmed on May 14 that preparations for Russian President Vladimir Putin's visit to China are complete and will occur very soon, propelling trader consensus to 98.5% implied probability for Yes by May 31. Reports from the South China Morning Post and others specify a one-day trip to Beijing on May 20, timed just after the Xi-Trump summit, underscoring deepening bilateral diplomacy amid global tensions. This near-certain pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds betting on strong Russia-China strategic coordination, with historical patterns of reliable high-level summits. Realistic disruptors remain slim but include sudden health issues for Putin, escalations in Ukraine, or unforeseen diplomatic crises altering schedules.

If Vladimir Putin visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$184,261
結束日期
2026-05-31
市場開放時間
Apr 1, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
If Vladimir Putin visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"普京會在5月31日前訪問中國嗎?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "普京會在5月31日前訪問中國嗎?" at 98%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "普京會在5月31日前訪問中國嗎?" has generated $184.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "普京會在5月31日前訪問中國嗎?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "普京會在5月31日前訪問中國嗎?" is "普京會在5月31日前訪問中國嗎?" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "普京會在5月31日前訪問中國嗎?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.