Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov confirmed on May 14 that preparations for Russian President Vladimir Putin's visit to China are complete and will occur very soon, propelling trader consensus to 98.5% implied probability for Yes by May 31. Reports from the South China Morning Post and others specify a one-day trip to Beijing on May 20, timed just after the Xi-Trump summit, underscoring deepening bilateral diplomacy amid global tensions. This near-certain pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds betting on strong Russia-China strategic coordination, with historical patterns of reliable high-level summits. Realistic disruptors remain slim but include sudden health issues for Putin, escalations in Ukraine, or unforeseen diplomatic crises altering schedules.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$184,261 交易量
$184,261 交易量
是
$184,261 交易量
$184,261 交易量
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間: Apr 1, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov confirmed on May 14 that preparations for Russian President Vladimir Putin's visit to China are complete and will occur very soon, propelling trader consensus to 98.5% implied probability for Yes by May 31. Reports from the South China Morning Post and others specify a one-day trip to Beijing on May 20, timed just after the Xi-Trump summit, underscoring deepening bilateral diplomacy amid global tensions. This near-certain pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds betting on strong Russia-China strategic coordination, with historical patterns of reliable high-level summits. Realistic disruptors remain slim but include sudden health issues for Putin, escalations in Ukraine, or unforeseen diplomatic crises altering schedules.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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