The near-certain 99.8% implied probability for "No" on US confirmation of a Kamikaze Dolphins program by May 31 stems from the total lack of official announcements, executive orders, or defense department statements on any such initiative. US naval programs involving marine mammals have historically centered on detection and reconnaissance roles under established oversight, with no recent legislative activity, committee hearings, or agency actions suggesting a shift toward offensive kamikaze capabilities. Traders weigh this absence against the short remaining timeline and see no credible catalysts for reversal. An unexpected declassification, high-level policy directive, or documented operational change before the deadline could still move probabilities, though such developments lack supporting indicators in current records.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$29,946 交易量
$29,946 交易量
2026-05-31
是
$29,946 交易量
$29,946 交易量
2026-05-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military is confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Kamikaze dolphins” refers to the use of dolphins as weapons through the attachment of explosive devices to dolphins for the purpose of attacking ships or other targets. The use of dolphins for mine detection, surveillance, retrieval, harbor defense or other military purposes not involving the attachment of explosive devices will not qualify.
Confirmation of the existence of kamikaze dolphins requires confirmation that the United States military has used, trained, or equipped dolphins to conduct attack missions of this type, or operates an ongoing program for the use of kamikaze dolphins.
Official confirmation from the United States government or military of the existence of kamikaze dolphins will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting confirming the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military will also qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The near-certain 99.8% implied probability for "No" on US confirmation of a Kamikaze Dolphins program by May 31 stems from the total lack of official announcements, executive orders, or defense department statements on any such initiative. US naval programs involving marine mammals have historically centered on detection and reconnaissance roles under established oversight, with no recent legislative activity, committee hearings, or agency actions suggesting a shift toward offensive kamikaze capabilities. Traders weigh this absence against the short remaining timeline and see no credible catalysts for reversal. An unexpected declassification, high-level policy directive, or documented operational change before the deadline could still move probabilities, though such developments lack supporting indicators in current records.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military is confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Kamikaze dolphins” refers to the use of dolphins as weapons through the attachment of explosive devices to dolphins for the purpose of attacking ships or other targets. The use of dolphins for mine detection, surveillance, retrieval, harbor defense or other military purposes not involving the attachment of explosive devices will not qualify.
Confirmation of the existence of kamikaze dolphins requires confirmation that the United States military has used, trained, or equipped dolphins to conduct attack missions of this type, or operates an ongoing program for the use of kamikaze dolphins.
Official confirmation from the United States government or military of the existence of kamikaze dolphins will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting confirming the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military will also qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
“Kamikaze dolphins” refers to the use of dolphins as weapons through the attachment of explosive devices to dolphins for the purpose of attacking ships or other targets. The use of dolphins for mine detection, surveillance, retrieval, harbor defense or other military purposes not involving the attachment of explosive devices will not qualify.
Confirmation of the existence of kamikaze dolphins requires confirmation that the United States military has used, trained, or equipped dolphins to conduct attack missions of this type, or operates an ongoing program for the use of kamikaze dolphins.
Official confirmation from the United States government or military of the existence of kamikaze dolphins will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting confirming the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military will also qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： May 11, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
交易量
$29,946結束日期
2026-05-31市場開放時間
May 11, 2026, 6:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military is confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Kamikaze dolphins” refers to the use of dolphins as weapons through the attachment of explosive devices to dolphins for the purpose of attacking ships or other targets. The use of dolphins for mine detection, surveillance, retrieval, harbor defense or other military purposes not involving the attachment of explosive devices will not qualify.
Confirmation of the existence of kamikaze dolphins requires confirmation that the United States military has used, trained, or equipped dolphins to conduct attack missions of this type, or operates an ongoing program for the use of kamikaze dolphins.
Official confirmation from the United States government or military of the existence of kamikaze dolphins will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting confirming the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military will also qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The near-certain 99.8% implied probability for "No" on US confirmation of a Kamikaze Dolphins program by May 31 stems from the total lack of official announcements, executive orders, or defense department statements on any such initiative. US naval programs involving marine mammals have historically centered on detection and reconnaissance roles under established oversight, with no recent legislative activity, committee hearings, or agency actions suggesting a shift toward offensive kamikaze capabilities. Traders weigh this absence against the short remaining timeline and see no credible catalysts for reversal. An unexpected declassification, high-level policy directive, or documented operational change before the deadline could still move probabilities, though such developments lack supporting indicators in current records.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military is confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Kamikaze dolphins” refers to the use of dolphins as weapons through the attachment of explosive devices to dolphins for the purpose of attacking ships or other targets. The use of dolphins for mine detection, surveillance, retrieval, harbor defense or other military purposes not involving the attachment of explosive devices will not qualify.
Confirmation of the existence of kamikaze dolphins requires confirmation that the United States military has used, trained, or equipped dolphins to conduct attack missions of this type, or operates an ongoing program for the use of kamikaze dolphins.
Official confirmation from the United States government or military of the existence of kamikaze dolphins will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting confirming the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military will also qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
“Kamikaze dolphins” refers to the use of dolphins as weapons through the attachment of explosive devices to dolphins for the purpose of attacking ships or other targets. The use of dolphins for mine detection, surveillance, retrieval, harbor defense or other military purposes not involving the attachment of explosive devices will not qualify.
Confirmation of the existence of kamikaze dolphins requires confirmation that the United States military has used, trained, or equipped dolphins to conduct attack missions of this type, or operates an ongoing program for the use of kamikaze dolphins.
Official confirmation from the United States government or military of the existence of kamikaze dolphins will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting confirming the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military will also qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$29,946結束日期
2026-05-31市場開放時間
May 11, 2026, 6:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The near-certain 99.8% implied probability for "No" on US confirmation of a Kamikaze Dolphins program by May 31 stems from the total lack of official announcements, executive orders, or defense department statements on any such initiative. US naval programs involving marine mammals have historically centered on detection and reconnaissance roles under established oversight, with no recent legislative activity, committee hearings, or agency actions suggesting a shift toward offensive kamikaze capabilities. Traders weigh this absence against the short remaining timeline and see no credible catalysts for reversal. An unexpected declassification, high-level policy directive, or documented operational change before the deadline could still move probabilities, though such developments lack supporting indicators in current records.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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