Ongoing indirect US-Iran talks, mediated by Pakistan amid a fragile ceasefire in place since April 8, continue to shape expectations for any high-level meeting by May 31. Iran submitted a 14-point proposal focused on ending hostilities and addressing the Strait of Hormuz, which President Trump is reviewing following his May summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping, where Beijing signaled willingness to assist. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi voiced ongoing distrust of US intentions during recent BRICS discussions, while prior rounds in Oman and Islamabad produced no breakthrough. Traders are tracking responses to these proposals and any follow-up sessions in the narrow remaining window, as stalled nuclear and sanctions issues could delay or block direct engagement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$81,879 交易量
2026-05-31
Jared Kushner
21%
Steve Witkoff
18%
J.D. Vance
11%
Marco Rubio
5%
Donald Trump
2%
$81,879 交易量
Jared Kushner
$22,716 交易量
21%
Steve Witkoff
$20,025 交易量
18%
J.D. Vance
$24,061 交易量
11%
Marco Rubio
$5,680 交易量
5%
Donald Trump
$9,397 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing indirect US-Iran talks, mediated by Pakistan amid a fragile ceasefire in place since April 8, continue to shape expectations for any high-level meeting by May 31. Iran submitted a 14-point proposal focused on ending hostilities and addressing the Strait of Hormuz, which President Trump is reviewing following his May summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping, where Beijing signaled willingness to assist. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi voiced ongoing distrust of US intentions during recent BRICS discussions, while prior rounds in Oman and Islamabad produced no breakthrough. Traders are tracking responses to these proposals and any follow-up sessions in the narrow remaining window, as stalled nuclear and sanctions issues could delay or block direct engagement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間： Apr 30, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
交易量
$81,879結束日期
2026-05-31市場開放時間
Apr 30, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing indirect US-Iran talks, mediated by Pakistan amid a fragile ceasefire in place since April 8, continue to shape expectations for any high-level meeting by May 31. Iran submitted a 14-point proposal focused on ending hostilities and addressing the Strait of Hormuz, which President Trump is reviewing following his May summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping, where Beijing signaled willingness to assist. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi voiced ongoing distrust of US intentions during recent BRICS discussions, while prior rounds in Oman and Islamabad produced no breakthrough. Traders are tracking responses to these proposals and any follow-up sessions in the narrow remaining window, as stalled nuclear and sanctions issues could delay or block direct engagement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$81,879結束日期
2026-05-31市場開放時間
Apr 30, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing indirect US-Iran talks, mediated by Pakistan amid a fragile ceasefire in place since April 8, continue to shape expectations for any high-level meeting by May 31. Iran submitted a 14-point proposal focused on ending hostilities and addressing the Strait of Hormuz, which President Trump is reviewing following his May summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping, where Beijing signaled willingness to assist. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi voiced ongoing distrust of US intentions during recent BRICS discussions, while prior rounds in Oman and Islamabad produced no breakthrough. Traders are tracking responses to these proposals and any follow-up sessions in the narrow remaining window, as stalled nuclear and sanctions issues could delay or block direct engagement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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