Sweden’s parliamentary elections have maintained turnout between 84% and 87% in recent cycles, reflecting stable voter engagement and a fixed second-Sunday-in-September schedule that supports consistent participation. The September 13, 2026 vote produced preliminary figures near 84.3% of registered voters, with record advance ballots helping sustain levels close to the 2022 result of 84.2%. Traders’ heavy weighting toward the 84-86% band reflects this historical pattern and the absence of major disruptions such as weather events or widespread abstention. Late-arriving advance and overseas ballots, still being tallied, are expected to produce only marginal adjustments. A shift below 82% or above 88% would require unusually low mobilization or an unforeseen surge in participation not supported by current reporting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於84-86% 95.0%
82-84% 1.0%
低於82% <1%
86-88% <1%
$38,469 交易量
$38,469 交易量
低於82%
<1%
82-84%
1%
84-86%
95%
86-88%
<1%
88%+
<1%
84-86% 95.0%
82-84% 1.0%
低於82% <1%
86-88% <1%
$38,469 交易量
$38,469 交易量
低於82%
<1%
82-84%
1%
84-86%
95%
86-88%
<1%
88%+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.val.se/valresultat/riksdag-region-och-kommun/2022/valresultat.html).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/).
市場開放時間: Sep 8, 2026, 4:28 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.val.se/valresultat/riksdag-region-och-kommun/2022/valresultat.html).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/).
Sweden’s parliamentary elections have maintained turnout between 84% and 87% in recent cycles, reflecting stable voter engagement and a fixed second-Sunday-in-September schedule that supports consistent participation. The September 13, 2026 vote produced preliminary figures near 84.3% of registered voters, with record advance ballots helping sustain levels close to the 2022 result of 84.2%. Traders’ heavy weighting toward the 84-86% band reflects this historical pattern and the absence of major disruptions such as weather events or widespread abstention. Late-arriving advance and overseas ballots, still being tallied, are expected to produce only marginal adjustments. A shift below 82% or above 88% would require unusually low mobilization or an unforeseen surge in participation not supported by current reporting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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