Incumbent Nick Langworthy holds a commanding position in the NY-23 race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, with roughly 40% registered Republicans compared to 28% Democrats, combined with his uncontested primary and strong fundraising edge exceeding $2.3 million versus his opponent's under $230,000. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Aaron Gies secured the Democratic nomination in June after defeating Kevin Stocker but faces structural barriers in this Southern Tier and western New York district. Trader consensus at 91.5% for Langworthy aligns with these fundamentals, though scenarios such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$24,471 交易量
$24,471 交易量
2026-11-02
尼克·蘭沃西（共和黨）
92%
Aaron Gies（民主黨）
9%
$24,471 交易量
$24,471 交易量
2026-11-02
尼克·蘭沃西（共和黨）
$11,093 交易量
92%
Aaron Gies（民主黨）
$13,378 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Nick Langworthy holds a commanding position in the NY-23 race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, with roughly 40% registered Republicans compared to 28% Democrats, combined with his uncontested primary and strong fundraising edge exceeding $2.3 million versus his opponent's under $230,000. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Aaron Gies secured the Democratic nomination in June after defeating Kevin Stocker but faces structural barriers in this Southern Tier and western New York district. Trader consensus at 91.5% for Langworthy aligns with these fundamentals, though scenarios such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$24,471結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Nick Langworthy holds a commanding position in the NY-23 race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, with roughly 40% registered Republicans compared to 28% Democrats, combined with his uncontested primary and strong fundraising edge exceeding $2.3 million versus his opponent's under $230,000. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Aaron Gies secured the Democratic nomination in June after defeating Kevin Stocker but faces structural barriers in this Southern Tier and western New York district. Trader consensus at 91.5% for Langworthy aligns with these fundamentals, though scenarios such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$24,471結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETIncumbent Nick Langworthy holds a commanding position in the NY-23 race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, with roughly 40% registered Republicans compared to 28% Democrats, combined with his uncontested primary and strong fundraising edge exceeding $2.3 million versus his opponent's under $230,000. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Aaron Gies secured the Democratic nomination in June after defeating Kevin Stocker but faces structural barriers in this Southern Tier and western New York district. Trader consensus at 91.5% for Langworthy aligns with these fundamentals, though scenarios such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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