Incumbent Republican Julie Fedorchak's commanding prior victory by 39 points in North Dakota's at-large House district, coupled with the state's deep-red partisan lean—where Republicans routinely dominate statewide races—drives trader consensus to 95.7% for the GOP in the November 3 general election. Fedorchak announced her reelection bid in January 2026 and, despite forgoing the NDGOP endorsement convention in April, maintains strong positioning ahead of the June 9 primaries. Democratic nominee Trygve Hammer, endorsed in March after a prior lopsided loss, shows no signs of closing the gap amid absent polls or recruitment breakthroughs. Scenarios to challenge this include a GOP primary upset yielding a weakened nominee, a major scandal, or an improbable national anti-Republican wave.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$37,290 交易量
$37,290 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
96%
民主黨
4%
$37,290 交易量
$37,290 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
$22,422 交易量
96%
民主黨
$14,868 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Julie Fedorchak's commanding prior victory by 39 points in North Dakota's at-large House district, coupled with the state's deep-red partisan lean—where Republicans routinely dominate statewide races—drives trader consensus to 95.7% for the GOP in the November 3 general election. Fedorchak announced her reelection bid in January 2026 and, despite forgoing the NDGOP endorsement convention in April, maintains strong positioning ahead of the June 9 primaries. Democratic nominee Trygve Hammer, endorsed in March after a prior lopsided loss, shows no signs of closing the gap amid absent polls or recruitment breakthroughs. Scenarios to challenge this include a GOP primary upset yielding a weakened nominee, a major scandal, or an improbable national anti-Republican wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$37,290結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Julie Fedorchak's commanding prior victory by 39 points in North Dakota's at-large House district, coupled with the state's deep-red partisan lean—where Republicans routinely dominate statewide races—drives trader consensus to 95.7% for the GOP in the November 3 general election. Fedorchak announced her reelection bid in January 2026 and, despite forgoing the NDGOP endorsement convention in April, maintains strong positioning ahead of the June 9 primaries. Democratic nominee Trygve Hammer, endorsed in March after a prior lopsided loss, shows no signs of closing the gap amid absent polls or recruitment breakthroughs. Scenarios to challenge this include a GOP primary upset yielding a weakened nominee, a major scandal, or an improbable national anti-Republican wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$37,290結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Julie Fedorchak's commanding prior victory by 39 points in North Dakota's at-large House district, coupled with the state's deep-red partisan lean—where Republicans routinely dominate statewide races—drives trader consensus to 95.7% for the GOP in the November 3 general election. Fedorchak announced her reelection bid in January 2026 and, despite forgoing the NDGOP endorsement convention in April, maintains strong positioning ahead of the June 9 primaries. Democratic nominee Trygve Hammer, endorsed in March after a prior lopsided loss, shows no signs of closing the gap amid absent polls or recruitment breakthroughs. Scenarios to challenge this include a GOP primary upset yielding a weakened nominee, a major scandal, or an improbable national anti-Republican wave.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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