Texas's 22nd congressional district features an open seat following Republican incumbent Troy Nehls's retirement announcement ahead of the 2026 cycle. His identical twin brother Trever Nehls secured the GOP nomination by a wide margin in the March 2026 primary, while Marquette Greene-Scott advanced as the Democratic nominee. The district maintains a solid Republican lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent prior results, which supports the market's strong Republican consensus. No major polling shifts, scandals, or national wave indicators have emerged in recent months to alter this positioning. Late developments such as an unforeseen economic downturn, candidate-specific controversy, or exceptionally high Democratic turnout in suburban areas could narrow the margin, though structural factors limit realistic reversal prospects before November.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$23,662 交易量
$23,662 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
91%
民主黨
8%
$23,662 交易量
$23,662 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
$14,073 交易量
91%
民主黨
$9,589 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 22nd congressional district features an open seat following Republican incumbent Troy Nehls's retirement announcement ahead of the 2026 cycle. His identical twin brother Trever Nehls secured the GOP nomination by a wide margin in the March 2026 primary, while Marquette Greene-Scott advanced as the Democratic nominee. The district maintains a solid Republican lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent prior results, which supports the market's strong Republican consensus. No major polling shifts, scandals, or national wave indicators have emerged in recent months to alter this positioning. Late developments such as an unforeseen economic downturn, candidate-specific controversy, or exceptionally high Democratic turnout in suburban areas could narrow the margin, though structural factors limit realistic reversal prospects before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$23,662結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 22nd congressional district features an open seat following Republican incumbent Troy Nehls's retirement announcement ahead of the 2026 cycle. His identical twin brother Trever Nehls secured the GOP nomination by a wide margin in the March 2026 primary, while Marquette Greene-Scott advanced as the Democratic nominee. The district maintains a solid Republican lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent prior results, which supports the market's strong Republican consensus. No major polling shifts, scandals, or national wave indicators have emerged in recent months to alter this positioning. Late developments such as an unforeseen economic downturn, candidate-specific controversy, or exceptionally high Democratic turnout in suburban areas could narrow the margin, though structural factors limit realistic reversal prospects before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$23,662結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 22nd congressional district features an open seat following Republican incumbent Troy Nehls's retirement announcement ahead of the 2026 cycle. His identical twin brother Trever Nehls secured the GOP nomination by a wide margin in the March 2026 primary, while Marquette Greene-Scott advanced as the Democratic nominee. The district maintains a solid Republican lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent prior results, which supports the market's strong Republican consensus. No major polling shifts, scandals, or national wave indicators have emerged in recent months to alter this positioning. Late developments such as an unforeseen economic downturn, candidate-specific controversy, or exceptionally high Democratic turnout in suburban areas could narrow the margin, though structural factors limit realistic reversal prospects before November.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions