Redistricting approved in early May has transformed Florida's 22nd Congressional District into an open seat with a modest Democratic lean, reflected in the 57 percent Democratic versus 39 percent Republican market pricing. Incumbent Lois Frankel shifted to the adjacent 23rd district, leaving Democratic primary contenders Ian Blake and Victoria Doyle to compete for the nomination ahead of the August 18 primary. On the Republican side, Michael Carbonara relocated his candidacy to the district after the map changes, positioning the party to mount a competitive general-election challenge on November 3. Race ratings from Cook and Inside Elections classify the contest as Solid Democratic, while the modest Republican edge in statewide polling and fundraising keeps the outcome within reach for both sides.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$14,152 交易量
$14,152 交易量
2026-11-03
Democratic Party
53%
Republican Party
40%
$14,152 交易量
$14,152 交易量
2026-11-03
Democratic Party
$6,840 交易量
53%
Republican Party
$7,311 交易量
40%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting approved in early May has transformed Florida's 22nd Congressional District into an open seat with a modest Democratic lean, reflected in the 57 percent Democratic versus 39 percent Republican market pricing. Incumbent Lois Frankel shifted to the adjacent 23rd district, leaving Democratic primary contenders Ian Blake and Victoria Doyle to compete for the nomination ahead of the August 18 primary. On the Republican side, Michael Carbonara relocated his candidacy to the district after the map changes, positioning the party to mount a competitive general-election challenge on November 3. Race ratings from Cook and Inside Elections classify the contest as Solid Democratic, while the modest Republican edge in statewide polling and fundraising keeps the outcome within reach for both sides.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
交易量
$14,152結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting approved in early May has transformed Florida's 22nd Congressional District into an open seat with a modest Democratic lean, reflected in the 57 percent Democratic versus 39 percent Republican market pricing. Incumbent Lois Frankel shifted to the adjacent 23rd district, leaving Democratic primary contenders Ian Blake and Victoria Doyle to compete for the nomination ahead of the August 18 primary. On the Republican side, Michael Carbonara relocated his candidacy to the district after the map changes, positioning the party to mount a competitive general-election challenge on November 3. Race ratings from Cook and Inside Elections classify the contest as Solid Democratic, while the modest Republican edge in statewide polling and fundraising keeps the outcome within reach for both sides.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$14,152結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting approved in early May has transformed Florida's 22nd Congressional District into an open seat with a modest Democratic lean, reflected in the 57 percent Democratic versus 39 percent Republican market pricing. Incumbent Lois Frankel shifted to the adjacent 23rd district, leaving Democratic primary contenders Ian Blake and Victoria Doyle to compete for the nomination ahead of the August 18 primary. On the Republican side, Michael Carbonara relocated his candidacy to the district after the map changes, positioning the party to mount a competitive general-election challenge on November 3. Race ratings from Cook and Inside Elections classify the contest as Solid Democratic, while the modest Republican edge in statewide polling and fundraising keeps the outcome within reach for both sides.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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