Democratic incumbent Becca Balint's strong position in Vermont's at-large House race stems from the state's long-standing partisan alignment, where Democrats have held the seat continuously since 1990, combined with her incumbency advantage and overwhelming primary performance. Recent University of New Hampshire polling shows her leading Republican nominee Gerald Malloy by roughly 38 points among likely voters, consistent with earlier surveys and reinforced by nonpartisan race ratings classifying the contest as safe or solid Democratic. Primary results from August 11, 2026, further underscore limited intra-party opposition for Balint and Malloy's consolidation of the Republican nomination. Realistic shifts in trader consensus would require major late developments such as a significant national political realignment, unforeseen scandal, or substantial changes in voter turnout patterns before the November general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$34,989 交易量
$34,989 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
95%
共和黨
5%
$34,989 交易量
$34,989 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
$8,650 交易量
95%
共和黨
$26,340 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Becca Balint's strong position in Vermont's at-large House race stems from the state's long-standing partisan alignment, where Democrats have held the seat continuously since 1990, combined with her incumbency advantage and overwhelming primary performance. Recent University of New Hampshire polling shows her leading Republican nominee Gerald Malloy by roughly 38 points among likely voters, consistent with earlier surveys and reinforced by nonpartisan race ratings classifying the contest as safe or solid Democratic. Primary results from August 11, 2026, further underscore limited intra-party opposition for Balint and Malloy's consolidation of the Republican nomination. Realistic shifts in trader consensus would require major late developments such as a significant national political realignment, unforeseen scandal, or substantial changes in voter turnout patterns before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$34,989結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Becca Balint's strong position in Vermont's at-large House race stems from the state's long-standing partisan alignment, where Democrats have held the seat continuously since 1990, combined with her incumbency advantage and overwhelming primary performance. Recent University of New Hampshire polling shows her leading Republican nominee Gerald Malloy by roughly 38 points among likely voters, consistent with earlier surveys and reinforced by nonpartisan race ratings classifying the contest as safe or solid Democratic. Primary results from August 11, 2026, further underscore limited intra-party opposition for Balint and Malloy's consolidation of the Republican nomination. Realistic shifts in trader consensus would require major late developments such as a significant national political realignment, unforeseen scandal, or substantial changes in voter turnout patterns before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$34,989結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Becca Balint's strong position in Vermont's at-large House race stems from the state's long-standing partisan alignment, where Democrats have held the seat continuously since 1990, combined with her incumbency advantage and overwhelming primary performance. Recent University of New Hampshire polling shows her leading Republican nominee Gerald Malloy by roughly 38 points among likely voters, consistent with earlier surveys and reinforced by nonpartisan race ratings classifying the contest as safe or solid Democratic. Primary results from August 11, 2026, further underscore limited intra-party opposition for Balint and Malloy's consolidation of the Republican nomination. Realistic shifts in trader consensus would require major late developments such as a significant national political realignment, unforeseen scandal, or substantial changes in voter turnout patterns before the November general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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