Vermont’s at-large congressional district has remained under continuous Democratic control since 1990, reflected in trader consensus assigning the Democratic nominee a 93.5% implied probability of victory. Incumbent Representative Becca Balint secured a 33-point margin in 2024 and faces the same Republican opponent, Mark Coester, in the November 2026 general election after both cleared their August primaries. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, consistent with the state’s partisan voting patterns and the absence of any credible primary challenge or fundraising surge by the Republican side. A late withdrawal by Balint, an unexpected national political realignment, or an unusually strong and well-funded challenger remain the only developments that could realistically alter the current pricing before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$11,261 交易量
$11,261 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
94%
共和黨
6%
$11,261 交易量
$11,261 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$6,357 交易量
94%
共和黨
$4,904 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Vermont’s at-large congressional district has remained under continuous Democratic control since 1990, reflected in trader consensus assigning the Democratic nominee a 93.5% implied probability of victory. Incumbent Representative Becca Balint secured a 33-point margin in 2024 and faces the same Republican opponent, Mark Coester, in the November 2026 general election after both cleared their August primaries. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, consistent with the state’s partisan voting patterns and the absence of any credible primary challenge or fundraising surge by the Republican side. A late withdrawal by Balint, an unexpected national political realignment, or an unusually strong and well-funded challenger remain the only developments that could realistically alter the current pricing before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$11,261結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Vermont’s at-large congressional district has remained under continuous Democratic control since 1990, reflected in trader consensus assigning the Democratic nominee a 93.5% implied probability of victory. Incumbent Representative Becca Balint secured a 33-point margin in 2024 and faces the same Republican opponent, Mark Coester, in the November 2026 general election after both cleared their August primaries. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, consistent with the state’s partisan voting patterns and the absence of any credible primary challenge or fundraising surge by the Republican side. A late withdrawal by Balint, an unexpected national political realignment, or an unusually strong and well-funded challenger remain the only developments that could realistically alter the current pricing before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$11,261結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vermont’s at-large congressional district has remained under continuous Democratic control since 1990, reflected in trader consensus assigning the Democratic nominee a 93.5% implied probability of victory. Incumbent Representative Becca Balint secured a 33-point margin in 2024 and faces the same Republican opponent, Mark Coester, in the November 2026 general election after both cleared their August primaries. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, consistent with the state’s partisan voting patterns and the absence of any credible primary challenge or fundraising surge by the Republican side. A late withdrawal by Balint, an unexpected national political realignment, or an unusually strong and well-funded challenger remain the only developments that could realistically alter the current pricing before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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