The Republican nominee's commanding position in Tennessee's 5th congressional district stems from the seat's R+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and post-redistricting boundaries that favor GOP candidates across rural and suburban areas of Middle Tennessee. Charlie Hatcher secured the Republican nomination on August 6 by defeating incumbent Andy Ogles in the primary, positioning a unified party ticket against Democratic nominee Chaz Molder ahead of the November 3 general election. Traders assign the Republican Party a 90.5% implied probability because the district has delivered consistent Republican margins in recent cycles, and no major developments have altered its structural lean. A Democratic victory would require an unusually strong national partisan swing or unforeseen candidate-specific issues to overcome the baseline partisan advantage.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$48,747 交易量
$48,747 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
91%
民主黨
9%
$48,747 交易量
$48,747 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
$24,116 交易量
91%
民主黨
$24,631 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee's commanding position in Tennessee's 5th congressional district stems from the seat's R+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and post-redistricting boundaries that favor GOP candidates across rural and suburban areas of Middle Tennessee. Charlie Hatcher secured the Republican nomination on August 6 by defeating incumbent Andy Ogles in the primary, positioning a unified party ticket against Democratic nominee Chaz Molder ahead of the November 3 general election. Traders assign the Republican Party a 90.5% implied probability because the district has delivered consistent Republican margins in recent cycles, and no major developments have altered its structural lean. A Democratic victory would require an unusually strong national partisan swing or unforeseen candidate-specific issues to overcome the baseline partisan advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$48,747結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee's commanding position in Tennessee's 5th congressional district stems from the seat's R+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and post-redistricting boundaries that favor GOP candidates across rural and suburban areas of Middle Tennessee. Charlie Hatcher secured the Republican nomination on August 6 by defeating incumbent Andy Ogles in the primary, positioning a unified party ticket against Democratic nominee Chaz Molder ahead of the November 3 general election. Traders assign the Republican Party a 90.5% implied probability because the district has delivered consistent Republican margins in recent cycles, and no major developments have altered its structural lean. A Democratic victory would require an unusually strong national partisan swing or unforeseen candidate-specific issues to overcome the baseline partisan advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$48,747結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican nominee's commanding position in Tennessee's 5th congressional district stems from the seat's R+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and post-redistricting boundaries that favor GOP candidates across rural and suburban areas of Middle Tennessee. Charlie Hatcher secured the Republican nomination on August 6 by defeating incumbent Andy Ogles in the primary, positioning a unified party ticket against Democratic nominee Chaz Molder ahead of the November 3 general election. Traders assign the Republican Party a 90.5% implied probability because the district has delivered consistent Republican margins in recent cycles, and no major developments have altered its structural lean. A Democratic victory would require an unusually strong national partisan swing or unforeseen candidate-specific issues to overcome the baseline partisan advantage.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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