South Carolina's 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with traders assigning the Republican Party an 85.5% implied probability of holding the seat. Incumbent Joe Wilson secured the GOP nomination in the June primary with 74% of the vote, facing limited intra-party opposition. Forecasters rate the district Safe or Solid Republican based on its voting history and partisan composition, while the Democratic nominee trails significantly in available polling. The low 14.5% probability for Democrats reflects the absence of competitive factors that could shift the outcome, such as redistricting changes or national wave dynamics within the resolution window. Minor outcomes like specific candidates labeled A or B sit near even money, consistent with limited name recognition or polling data distinguishing them from the party-level favorite.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$34,857 交易量
$34,857 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
86%
民主黨
15%
$34,857 交易量
$34,857 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
$12,210 交易量
86%
民主黨
$22,646 交易量
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with traders assigning the Republican Party an 85.5% implied probability of holding the seat. Incumbent Joe Wilson secured the GOP nomination in the June primary with 74% of the vote, facing limited intra-party opposition. Forecasters rate the district Safe or Solid Republican based on its voting history and partisan composition, while the Democratic nominee trails significantly in available polling. The low 14.5% probability for Democrats reflects the absence of competitive factors that could shift the outcome, such as redistricting changes or national wave dynamics within the resolution window. Minor outcomes like specific candidates labeled A or B sit near even money, consistent with limited name recognition or polling data distinguishing them from the party-level favorite.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$34,857結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with traders assigning the Republican Party an 85.5% implied probability of holding the seat. Incumbent Joe Wilson secured the GOP nomination in the June primary with 74% of the vote, facing limited intra-party opposition. Forecasters rate the district Safe or Solid Republican based on its voting history and partisan composition, while the Democratic nominee trails significantly in available polling. The low 14.5% probability for Democrats reflects the absence of competitive factors that could shift the outcome, such as redistricting changes or national wave dynamics within the resolution window. Minor outcomes like specific candidates labeled A or B sit near even money, consistent with limited name recognition or polling data distinguishing them from the party-level favorite.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$34,857結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with traders assigning the Republican Party an 85.5% implied probability of holding the seat. Incumbent Joe Wilson secured the GOP nomination in the June primary with 74% of the vote, facing limited intra-party opposition. Forecasters rate the district Safe or Solid Republican based on its voting history and partisan composition, while the Democratic nominee trails significantly in available polling. The low 14.5% probability for Democrats reflects the absence of competitive factors that could shift the outcome, such as redistricting changes or national wave dynamics within the resolution window. Minor outcomes like specific candidates labeled A or B sit near even money, consistent with limited name recognition or polling data distinguishing them from the party-level favorite.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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