Incumbent Jim Clyburn secured the Democratic nomination for South Carolina's 6th Congressional District after winning his June 2026 primary by a wide margin, facing Republican nominee John Peterson in the November general election. The district's D+13 partisan lean, majority-Black electorate, and consistent Democratic voting patterns underpin the 95% implied probability for Clyburn. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on historical results, including Clyburn's 2024 reelection. Failed redistricting efforts earlier in the cycle preserved the boundaries, while Peterson's limited visibility and fundraising contrast with Clyburn's institutional position and donor base. A health event, late scandal, or sharply altered turnout could shift outcomes, though the structural advantages make such changes improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$34,860 交易量
$34,860 交易量
2026-11-02
吉姆·克萊本（民主黨）
95%
約翰·彼得森（共和黨）
6%
$34,860 交易量
$34,860 交易量
2026-11-02
吉姆·克萊本（民主黨）
$18,636 交易量
95%
約翰·彼得森（共和黨）
$16,224 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jim Clyburn secured the Democratic nomination for South Carolina's 6th Congressional District after winning his June 2026 primary by a wide margin, facing Republican nominee John Peterson in the November general election. The district's D+13 partisan lean, majority-Black electorate, and consistent Democratic voting patterns underpin the 95% implied probability for Clyburn. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on historical results, including Clyburn's 2024 reelection. Failed redistricting efforts earlier in the cycle preserved the boundaries, while Peterson's limited visibility and fundraising contrast with Clyburn's institutional position and donor base. A health event, late scandal, or sharply altered turnout could shift outcomes, though the structural advantages make such changes improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$34,860結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jim Clyburn secured the Democratic nomination for South Carolina's 6th Congressional District after winning his June 2026 primary by a wide margin, facing Republican nominee John Peterson in the November general election. The district's D+13 partisan lean, majority-Black electorate, and consistent Democratic voting patterns underpin the 95% implied probability for Clyburn. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on historical results, including Clyburn's 2024 reelection. Failed redistricting efforts earlier in the cycle preserved the boundaries, while Peterson's limited visibility and fundraising contrast with Clyburn's institutional position and donor base. A health event, late scandal, or sharply altered turnout could shift outcomes, though the structural advantages make such changes improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$34,860結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETIncumbent Jim Clyburn secured the Democratic nomination for South Carolina's 6th Congressional District after winning his June 2026 primary by a wide margin, facing Republican nominee John Peterson in the November general election. The district's D+13 partisan lean, majority-Black electorate, and consistent Democratic voting patterns underpin the 95% implied probability for Clyburn. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on historical results, including Clyburn's 2024 reelection. Failed redistricting efforts earlier in the cycle preserved the boundaries, while Peterson's limited visibility and fundraising contrast with Clyburn's institutional position and donor base. A health event, late scandal, or sharply altered turnout could shift outcomes, though the structural advantages make such changes improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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