Incumbent Democrat Sam Liccardo holds a commanding position in California's 16th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The Silicon Valley-based seat carries a strong Democratic partisan lean exceeding D+25, reflected in Cook Political Report's Solid D rating and similar assessments from other forecasters. Liccardo secured 75.6% in the June 2026 top-two primary, advancing easily against Republican challengers including Peter Sundin Soulé. Trader consensus at 95% for Democrats aligns with this structural advantage, historical base rates for safe seats, and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts. A late scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national Republican wave would be required to alter the outcome, though such developments remain rare in districts of this makeup.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$96,024 交易量
$96,024 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
95%
共和黨
6%
$96,024 交易量
$96,024 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$51,871 交易量
95%
共和黨
$44,153 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sam Liccardo holds a commanding position in California's 16th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The Silicon Valley-based seat carries a strong Democratic partisan lean exceeding D+25, reflected in Cook Political Report's Solid D rating and similar assessments from other forecasters. Liccardo secured 75.6% in the June 2026 top-two primary, advancing easily against Republican challengers including Peter Sundin Soulé. Trader consensus at 95% for Democrats aligns with this structural advantage, historical base rates for safe seats, and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts. A late scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national Republican wave would be required to alter the outcome, though such developments remain rare in districts of this makeup.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
交易量
$96,024結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sam Liccardo holds a commanding position in California's 16th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The Silicon Valley-based seat carries a strong Democratic partisan lean exceeding D+25, reflected in Cook Political Report's Solid D rating and similar assessments from other forecasters. Liccardo secured 75.6% in the June 2026 top-two primary, advancing easily against Republican challengers including Peter Sundin Soulé. Trader consensus at 95% for Democrats aligns with this structural advantage, historical base rates for safe seats, and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts. A late scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national Republican wave would be required to alter the outcome, though such developments remain rare in districts of this makeup.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$96,024結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Sam Liccardo holds a commanding position in California's 16th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The Silicon Valley-based seat carries a strong Democratic partisan lean exceeding D+25, reflected in Cook Political Report's Solid D rating and similar assessments from other forecasters. Liccardo secured 75.6% in the June 2026 top-two primary, advancing easily against Republican challengers including Peter Sundin Soulé. Trader consensus at 95% for Democrats aligns with this structural advantage, historical base rates for safe seats, and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts. A late scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national Republican wave would be required to alter the outcome, though such developments remain rare in districts of this makeup.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions