Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with over 84 percent of the vote against a single challenger, while Democrat Jeffrey Hulum III prevailed in a low-turnout primary. Mississippi’s Fourth Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt consistent with its voting history and electoral math, producing wide margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. The absence of notable polling shifts or campaign developments since the primaries has reinforced trader expectations that the Republican nominee will hold the seat in November. An independent candidate appears on the general-election ballot but shows limited capacity to alter the outcome. These structural factors and primary results underpin the current market pricing for a Republican victory.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$23,730 交易量
$23,730 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
86%
民主黨
3%
$23,730 交易量
$23,730 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
$9,428 交易量
86%
民主黨
$14,301 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with over 84 percent of the vote against a single challenger, while Democrat Jeffrey Hulum III prevailed in a low-turnout primary. Mississippi’s Fourth Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt consistent with its voting history and electoral math, producing wide margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. The absence of notable polling shifts or campaign developments since the primaries has reinforced trader expectations that the Republican nominee will hold the seat in November. An independent candidate appears on the general-election ballot but shows limited capacity to alter the outcome. These structural factors and primary results underpin the current market pricing for a Republican victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$23,730結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with over 84 percent of the vote against a single challenger, while Democrat Jeffrey Hulum III prevailed in a low-turnout primary. Mississippi’s Fourth Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt consistent with its voting history and electoral math, producing wide margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. The absence of notable polling shifts or campaign developments since the primaries has reinforced trader expectations that the Republican nominee will hold the seat in November. An independent candidate appears on the general-election ballot but shows limited capacity to alter the outcome. These structural factors and primary results underpin the current market pricing for a Republican victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$23,730結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with over 84 percent of the vote against a single challenger, while Democrat Jeffrey Hulum III prevailed in a low-turnout primary. Mississippi’s Fourth Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt consistent with its voting history and electoral math, producing wide margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. The absence of notable polling shifts or campaign developments since the primaries has reinforced trader expectations that the Republican nominee will hold the seat in November. An independent candidate appears on the general-election ballot but shows limited capacity to alter the outcome. These structural factors and primary results underpin the current market pricing for a Republican victory.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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