California Proposition 5 would amend the state constitution to eliminate the simultaneous successor election on recall ballots for statewide officers, leaving any vacancy to be filled later under existing law while permitting the recalled official to run again. The measure, referred by the legislature, appears on the November 3, 2026 ballot amid broader debates over recall mechanics following past high-profile contests. Organized support from groups such as the League of Women Voters and Common Cause emphasizes procedural simplification and reduced costs, while opponents including election-integrity organizations argue it weakens voter accountability by removing the replacement choice. With the voter guide recently released and no dominant polling shifts in recent months, trader pricing reflects the closely divided landscape and typical hurdles for constitutional changes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
是
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
市場開放時間: Jul 1, 2026, 6:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...California Proposition 5 would amend the state constitution to eliminate the simultaneous successor election on recall ballots for statewide officers, leaving any vacancy to be filled later under existing law while permitting the recalled official to run again. The measure, referred by the legislature, appears on the November 3, 2026 ballot amid broader debates over recall mechanics following past high-profile contests. Organized support from groups such as the League of Women Voters and Common Cause emphasizes procedural simplification and reduced costs, while opponents including election-integrity organizations argue it weakens voter accountability by removing the replacement choice. With the voter guide recently released and no dominant polling shifts in recent months, trader pricing reflects the closely divided landscape and typical hurdles for constitutional changes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

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