Maryland’s 2nd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+10, placing it well outside competitive range for the 2026 cycle. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Incumbent Johnny Olszewski secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary with roughly 85 percent of the vote, while Republican nominee Dave Wallace prevailed in his primary. No polling or fundraising data has emerged to suggest a viable challenge, consistent with the district’s recent presidential margins favoring Democrats by double digits. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent Democratic reflects these structural factors. A Republican upset would require either an unprecedented national swing or an unforeseen event altering candidate viability before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$24,172 交易量
$24,172 交易量
2026-11-02
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$24,172 交易量
$24,172 交易量
2026-11-02
Democratic Party
$12,396 交易量
95%
Republican Party
$11,777 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 2nd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+10, placing it well outside competitive range for the 2026 cycle. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Incumbent Johnny Olszewski secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary with roughly 85 percent of the vote, while Republican nominee Dave Wallace prevailed in his primary. No polling or fundraising data has emerged to suggest a viable challenge, consistent with the district’s recent presidential margins favoring Democrats by double digits. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent Democratic reflects these structural factors. A Republican upset would require either an unprecedented national swing or an unforeseen event altering candidate viability before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$24,172結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 2nd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+10, placing it well outside competitive range for the 2026 cycle. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Incumbent Johnny Olszewski secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary with roughly 85 percent of the vote, while Republican nominee Dave Wallace prevailed in his primary. No polling or fundraising data has emerged to suggest a viable challenge, consistent with the district’s recent presidential margins favoring Democrats by double digits. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent Democratic reflects these structural factors. A Republican upset would require either an unprecedented national swing or an unforeseen event altering candidate viability before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$24,172結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 2nd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+10, placing it well outside competitive range for the 2026 cycle. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Incumbent Johnny Olszewski secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary with roughly 85 percent of the vote, while Republican nominee Dave Wallace prevailed in his primary. No polling or fundraising data has emerged to suggest a viable challenge, consistent with the district’s recent presidential margins favoring Democrats by double digits. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent Democratic reflects these structural factors. A Republican upset would require either an unprecedented national swing or an unforeseen event altering candidate viability before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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