Republican incumbent Marlin Stutzman holds a commanding position in Indiana's 3rd Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election, consistent with the district's established Republican lean and his 65% win in 2024. Stutzman secured the GOP nomination in the May primary after defeating a rematch challenger, while Democrat Kelly Thompson and independent Phillip Beachy represent the general-election opposition. The seat's partisan composition, centered on the Fort Wayne area, combined with typical midterm dynamics and limited recent polling shifts, underpin trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. A major scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic national performance could narrow the margin, though historical base rates for similar districts indicate such shifts remain uncommon.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$12,398 交易量
$12,398 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
94%
民主黨
6%
$12,398 交易量
$12,398 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
$3,120 交易量
94%
民主黨
$9,278 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Marlin Stutzman holds a commanding position in Indiana's 3rd Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election, consistent with the district's established Republican lean and his 65% win in 2024. Stutzman secured the GOP nomination in the May primary after defeating a rematch challenger, while Democrat Kelly Thompson and independent Phillip Beachy represent the general-election opposition. The seat's partisan composition, centered on the Fort Wayne area, combined with typical midterm dynamics and limited recent polling shifts, underpin trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. A major scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic national performance could narrow the margin, though historical base rates for similar districts indicate such shifts remain uncommon.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$12,398結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Marlin Stutzman holds a commanding position in Indiana's 3rd Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election, consistent with the district's established Republican lean and his 65% win in 2024. Stutzman secured the GOP nomination in the May primary after defeating a rematch challenger, while Democrat Kelly Thompson and independent Phillip Beachy represent the general-election opposition. The seat's partisan composition, centered on the Fort Wayne area, combined with typical midterm dynamics and limited recent polling shifts, underpin trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. A major scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic national performance could narrow the margin, though historical base rates for similar districts indicate such shifts remain uncommon.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$12,398結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Marlin Stutzman holds a commanding position in Indiana's 3rd Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election, consistent with the district's established Republican lean and his 65% win in 2024. Stutzman secured the GOP nomination in the May primary after defeating a rematch challenger, while Democrat Kelly Thompson and independent Phillip Beachy represent the general-election opposition. The seat's partisan composition, centered on the Fort Wayne area, combined with typical midterm dynamics and limited recent polling shifts, underpin trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. A major scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic national performance could narrow the margin, though historical base rates for similar districts indicate such shifts remain uncommon.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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