Maryland's 1st congressional district remains a Republican-leaning seat on the Eastern Shore and eastern Baltimore County suburbs, where incumbent Andy Harris secured the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary with over 80 percent of the vote. Democratic nominee Dan Schwartz advanced from a contested primary but faces structural challenges in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters. An earlier Democratic-led redistricting effort that aimed to improve party prospects failed in the state Senate. Traders assign the Republican Party an 85.5 percent implied probability of victory, consistent with the district's voting history and Harris's multiple prior reelections, while the November 3 general election timeline leaves limited room for late shifts absent major developments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$33,984 交易量
$33,984 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
86%
民主黨
14%
$33,984 交易量
$33,984 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
$19,265 交易量
86%
民主黨
$14,719 交易量
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 1st congressional district remains a Republican-leaning seat on the Eastern Shore and eastern Baltimore County suburbs, where incumbent Andy Harris secured the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary with over 80 percent of the vote. Democratic nominee Dan Schwartz advanced from a contested primary but faces structural challenges in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters. An earlier Democratic-led redistricting effort that aimed to improve party prospects failed in the state Senate. Traders assign the Republican Party an 85.5 percent implied probability of victory, consistent with the district's voting history and Harris's multiple prior reelections, while the November 3 general election timeline leaves limited room for late shifts absent major developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$33,984結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 1st congressional district remains a Republican-leaning seat on the Eastern Shore and eastern Baltimore County suburbs, where incumbent Andy Harris secured the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary with over 80 percent of the vote. Democratic nominee Dan Schwartz advanced from a contested primary but faces structural challenges in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters. An earlier Democratic-led redistricting effort that aimed to improve party prospects failed in the state Senate. Traders assign the Republican Party an 85.5 percent implied probability of victory, consistent with the district's voting history and Harris's multiple prior reelections, while the November 3 general election timeline leaves limited room for late shifts absent major developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$33,984結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 1st congressional district remains a Republican-leaning seat on the Eastern Shore and eastern Baltimore County suburbs, where incumbent Andy Harris secured the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary with over 80 percent of the vote. Democratic nominee Dan Schwartz advanced from a contested primary but faces structural challenges in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters. An earlier Democratic-led redistricting effort that aimed to improve party prospects failed in the state Senate. Traders assign the Republican Party an 85.5 percent implied probability of victory, consistent with the district's voting history and Harris's multiple prior reelections, while the November 3 general election timeline leaves limited room for late shifts absent major developments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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