Incumbent Republican Andy Harris secured the party's nomination in the June 23 primary with roughly 80% of the vote against a single challenger, while Democrat Dan Schwartz emerged from a four-way primary to face him in the November 3 general election. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, consistent with the district's R+8 partisan lean and historical voting patterns. Fundraising and organizational advantages favor the incumbent, with no major shifts in polling or campaign dynamics reported since the primaries. These elements underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican hold at high probability, though the outcome remains subject to turnout and any late-cycle developments within the resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$34,889 交易量
$34,889 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
88%
民主黨
14%
$34,889 交易量
$34,889 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
$19,519 交易量
88%
民主黨
$15,369 交易量
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andy Harris secured the party's nomination in the June 23 primary with roughly 80% of the vote against a single challenger, while Democrat Dan Schwartz emerged from a four-way primary to face him in the November 3 general election. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, consistent with the district's R+8 partisan lean and historical voting patterns. Fundraising and organizational advantages favor the incumbent, with no major shifts in polling or campaign dynamics reported since the primaries. These elements underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican hold at high probability, though the outcome remains subject to turnout and any late-cycle developments within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$34,889結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andy Harris secured the party's nomination in the June 23 primary with roughly 80% of the vote against a single challenger, while Democrat Dan Schwartz emerged from a four-way primary to face him in the November 3 general election. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, consistent with the district's R+8 partisan lean and historical voting patterns. Fundraising and organizational advantages favor the incumbent, with no major shifts in polling or campaign dynamics reported since the primaries. These elements underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican hold at high probability, though the outcome remains subject to turnout and any late-cycle developments within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$34,889結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Andy Harris secured the party's nomination in the June 23 primary with roughly 80% of the vote against a single challenger, while Democrat Dan Schwartz emerged from a four-way primary to face him in the November 3 general election. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, consistent with the district's R+8 partisan lean and historical voting patterns. Fundraising and organizational advantages favor the incumbent, with no major shifts in polling or campaign dynamics reported since the primaries. These elements underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican hold at high probability, though the outcome remains subject to turnout and any late-cycle developments within the resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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