North Carolina's 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24 following the 2025 redistricting. Incumbent Democrat Alma Adams, first elected in 2014, secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 79% of the vote and faces Republican Jack Codiga in the November general election. Ratings from the Cook Political Report classify the race as Solid Democratic, consistent with Adams' prior general election margins exceeding 70%. Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns the Democratic Party a 94.5% implied probability of victory. Factors sustaining this position include the district's consistent partisan voting patterns and limited Republican infrastructure. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as a major scandal, incumbent health concerns, or an unusually strong national Republican wave altering turnout dynamics before November 3, 2026.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$41,251 交易量
$41,251 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
94%
共和黨
6%
$41,251 交易量
$41,251 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$16,615 交易量
94%
共和黨
$24,636 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina's 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24 following the 2025 redistricting. Incumbent Democrat Alma Adams, first elected in 2014, secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 79% of the vote and faces Republican Jack Codiga in the November general election. Ratings from the Cook Political Report classify the race as Solid Democratic, consistent with Adams' prior general election margins exceeding 70%. Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns the Democratic Party a 94.5% implied probability of victory. Factors sustaining this position include the district's consistent partisan voting patterns and limited Republican infrastructure. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as a major scandal, incumbent health concerns, or an unusually strong national Republican wave altering turnout dynamics before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$41,251結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina's 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24 following the 2025 redistricting. Incumbent Democrat Alma Adams, first elected in 2014, secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 79% of the vote and faces Republican Jack Codiga in the November general election. Ratings from the Cook Political Report classify the race as Solid Democratic, consistent with Adams' prior general election margins exceeding 70%. Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns the Democratic Party a 94.5% implied probability of victory. Factors sustaining this position include the district's consistent partisan voting patterns and limited Republican infrastructure. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as a major scandal, incumbent health concerns, or an unusually strong national Republican wave altering turnout dynamics before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$41,251結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Carolina's 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24 following the 2025 redistricting. Incumbent Democrat Alma Adams, first elected in 2014, secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 79% of the vote and faces Republican Jack Codiga in the November general election. Ratings from the Cook Political Report classify the race as Solid Democratic, consistent with Adams' prior general election margins exceeding 70%. Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns the Democratic Party a 94.5% implied probability of victory. Factors sustaining this position include the district's consistent partisan voting patterns and limited Republican infrastructure. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as a major scandal, incumbent health concerns, or an unusually strong national Republican wave altering turnout dynamics before November 3, 2026.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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