Incumbent Democrat Jon Ossoff holds a commanding lead in recent polls against potential Republican challengers like Rep. Mike Collins (51-44%) and Rep. Buddy Carter (52-43%) per Echelon's April survey, bolstered by his dominant fundraising with a $31 million war chest. A crowded GOP primary on May 19 features shifting dynamics, including Derek Dooley's recent 10-point surge in a Quantus Insights poll, prompting Republican concerns over a prolonged intra-party fight eroding resources in this battleground state. Traders price Democrats at 83.5% implied probability, reflecting Ossoff's incumbency edge, consistent polling advantages, and historical Georgia Senate trends favoring the incumbent amid a fragmented GOP field ahead of the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$25,593 交易量
$25,593 交易量

民主黨
84%

共和黨
17%
$25,593 交易量
$25,593 交易量

民主黨
84%

共和黨
17%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jon Ossoff holds a commanding lead in recent polls against potential Republican challengers like Rep. Mike Collins (51-44%) and Rep. Buddy Carter (52-43%) per Echelon's April survey, bolstered by his dominant fundraising with a $31 million war chest. A crowded GOP primary on May 19 features shifting dynamics, including Derek Dooley's recent 10-point surge in a Quantus Insights poll, prompting Republican concerns over a prolonged intra-party fight eroding resources in this battleground state. Traders price Democrats at 83.5% implied probability, reflecting Ossoff's incumbency edge, consistent polling advantages, and historical Georgia Senate trends favoring the incumbent amid a fragmented GOP field ahead of the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions