The core four 2026 Senate contests in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine feature narrow polling margins and toss-up or lean ratings from forecasters, keeping the trader-implied probability of a Democratic sweep near even. Georgia incumbent Jon Ossoff faces a well-funded Republican challenge in a state that leaned Republican in the prior cycle, while Michigan’s open seat and North Carolina’s open Republican-held seat hinge on candidate recruitment and turnout among suburban and rural blocs. Maine’s Susan Collins race adds an incumbency advantage for Republicans in a state with split-ticket voting patterns. Recent special-election results and early fundraising data have produced mixed signals without a decisive national shift, sustaining competitive balance. Late-cycle developments such as updated polling averages, debate performances, economic indicators, or turnout operations in these battlegrounds could alter the odds in either direction before November voting concludes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
49% 機率
$20,138 交易量
$20,138 交易量
2026-11-03
是
49% 機率
$20,138 交易量
$20,138 交易量
2026-11-03
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.The core four 2026 Senate contests in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine feature narrow polling margins and toss-up or lean ratings from forecasters, keeping the trader-implied probability of a Democratic sweep near even. Georgia incumbent Jon Ossoff faces a well-funded Republican challenge in a state that leaned Republican in the prior cycle, while Michigan’s open seat and North Carolina’s open Republican-held seat hinge on candidate recruitment and turnout among suburban and rural blocs. Maine’s Susan Collins race adds an incumbency advantage for Republicans in a state with split-ticket voting patterns. Recent special-election results and early fundraising data have produced mixed signals without a decisive national shift, sustaining competitive balance. Late-cycle developments such as updated polling averages, debate performances, economic indicators, or turnout operations in these battlegrounds could alter the odds in either direction before November voting concludes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
市場開放時間： Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
交易量
$20,138結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.The core four 2026 Senate contests in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine feature narrow polling margins and toss-up or lean ratings from forecasters, keeping the trader-implied probability of a Democratic sweep near even. Georgia incumbent Jon Ossoff faces a well-funded Republican challenge in a state that leaned Republican in the prior cycle, while Michigan’s open seat and North Carolina’s open Republican-held seat hinge on candidate recruitment and turnout among suburban and rural blocs. Maine’s Susan Collins race adds an incumbency advantage for Republicans in a state with split-ticket voting patterns. Recent special-election results and early fundraising data have produced mixed signals without a decisive national shift, sustaining competitive balance. Late-cycle developments such as updated polling averages, debate performances, economic indicators, or turnout operations in these battlegrounds could alter the odds in either direction before November voting concludes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
交易量
$20,138結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The core four 2026 Senate contests in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine feature narrow polling margins and toss-up or lean ratings from forecasters, keeping the trader-implied probability of a Democratic sweep near even. Georgia incumbent Jon Ossoff faces a well-funded Republican challenge in a state that leaned Republican in the prior cycle, while Michigan’s open seat and North Carolina’s open Republican-held seat hinge on candidate recruitment and turnout among suburban and rural blocs. Maine’s Susan Collins race adds an incumbency advantage for Republicans in a state with split-ticket voting patterns. Recent special-election results and early fundraising data have produced mixed signals without a decisive national shift, sustaining competitive balance. Late-cycle developments such as updated polling averages, debate performances, economic indicators, or turnout operations in these battlegrounds could alter the odds in either direction before November voting concludes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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