The core four Senate races—Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine—form the central battlegrounds where Democrats must prevail to improve their chamber position ahead of the November 2026 midterms. These contests feature open seats, vulnerable incumbents, and recent Cook and Sabato rating shifts that have tightened several leans toward Democrats, reflecting candidate recruitment, polling averages, and primary outcomes. The overall map favors Republicans given the 2024 presidential results and seat distribution, yet strong Democratic contenders and localized dynamics in these states sustain close trader assessments near even odds. Upcoming primaries, fundraising reports, and any national economic or policy developments could alter individual probabilities and tip the sweep outlook.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
49% 機率
$19,822 交易量
$19,822 交易量
2026-11-03
是
49% 機率
$19,822 交易量
$19,822 交易量
2026-11-03
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.The core four Senate races—Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine—form the central battlegrounds where Democrats must prevail to improve their chamber position ahead of the November 2026 midterms. These contests feature open seats, vulnerable incumbents, and recent Cook and Sabato rating shifts that have tightened several leans toward Democrats, reflecting candidate recruitment, polling averages, and primary outcomes. The overall map favors Republicans given the 2024 presidential results and seat distribution, yet strong Democratic contenders and localized dynamics in these states sustain close trader assessments near even odds. Upcoming primaries, fundraising reports, and any national economic or policy developments could alter individual probabilities and tip the sweep outlook.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
市場開放時間： Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
交易量
$19,822結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.The core four Senate races—Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine—form the central battlegrounds where Democrats must prevail to improve their chamber position ahead of the November 2026 midterms. These contests feature open seats, vulnerable incumbents, and recent Cook and Sabato rating shifts that have tightened several leans toward Democrats, reflecting candidate recruitment, polling averages, and primary outcomes. The overall map favors Republicans given the 2024 presidential results and seat distribution, yet strong Democratic contenders and localized dynamics in these states sustain close trader assessments near even odds. Upcoming primaries, fundraising reports, and any national economic or policy developments could alter individual probabilities and tip the sweep outlook.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
交易量
$19,822結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The core four Senate races—Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine—form the central battlegrounds where Democrats must prevail to improve their chamber position ahead of the November 2026 midterms. These contests feature open seats, vulnerable incumbents, and recent Cook and Sabato rating shifts that have tightened several leans toward Democrats, reflecting candidate recruitment, polling averages, and primary outcomes. The overall map favors Republicans given the 2024 presidential results and seat distribution, yet strong Democratic contenders and localized dynamics in these states sustain close trader assessments near even odds. Upcoming primaries, fundraising reports, and any national economic or policy developments could alter individual probabilities and tip the sweep outlook.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions