Brad Lander’s commanding lead in NY-10 Democratic primary polling, including a May Emerson survey showing him ahead of incumbent Dan Goldman by 34 points, established the foundation for trader expectations of a 30%+ margin of victory. Lander built broad support across age groups, especially younger voters, by capitalizing on his prior mayoral campaign visibility and alignment with progressive figures including Mayor Zohran Mamdani. Goldman faced headwinds from primary voters over his record on foreign policy and campaign finance ties. With the June 23 primary now concluded and results showing a roughly 32-point Lander win, the market reflects this outcome while allowing for narrow scenarios such as final certification adjustments or recounts that could modestly narrow the certified margin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於蘭德 30%+ 98.4%
蘭德 <10% 2.9%
蘭德20–30% 2.8%
蘭德10–20％ <1%
$75,569 交易量
$75,569 交易量
2026-06-23
蘭德 30%+
98%
蘭德20–30%
3%
蘭德10–20％
<1%
蘭德 <10%
3%
其他
<1%
蘭德 30%+ 98.4%
蘭德 <10% 2.9%
蘭德20–30% 2.8%
蘭德10–20％ <1%
$75,569 交易量
$75,569 交易量
2026-06-23
蘭德 30%+
$47,042 交易量
98%
蘭德20–30%
$9,382 交易量
3%
蘭德10–20％
$12,598 交易量
<1%
蘭德 <10%
$3,360 交易量
3%
其他
$2,075 交易量
<1%
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-10 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Brad Lander’s commanding lead in NY-10 Democratic primary polling, including a May Emerson survey showing him ahead of incumbent Dan Goldman by 34 points, established the foundation for trader expectations of a 30%+ margin of victory. Lander built broad support across age groups, especially younger voters, by capitalizing on his prior mayoral campaign visibility and alignment with progressive figures including Mayor Zohran Mamdani. Goldman faced headwinds from primary voters over his record on foreign policy and campaign finance ties. With the June 23 primary now concluded and results showing a roughly 32-point Lander win, the market reflects this outcome while allowing for narrow scenarios such as final certification adjustments or recounts that could modestly narrow the certified margin.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-10 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-10 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
市場開放時間： Jun 18, 2026, 10:04 PM ET
交易量
$75,569結束日期
2026-06-23市場開放時間
Jun 18, 2026, 10:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-10 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Brad Lander’s commanding lead in NY-10 Democratic primary polling, including a May Emerson survey showing him ahead of incumbent Dan Goldman by 34 points, established the foundation for trader expectations of a 30%+ margin of victory. Lander built broad support across age groups, especially younger voters, by capitalizing on his prior mayoral campaign visibility and alignment with progressive figures including Mayor Zohran Mamdani. Goldman faced headwinds from primary voters over his record on foreign policy and campaign finance ties. With the June 23 primary now concluded and results showing a roughly 32-point Lander win, the market reflects this outcome while allowing for narrow scenarios such as final certification adjustments or recounts that could modestly narrow the certified margin.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-10 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-10 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$75,569結束日期
2026-06-23市場開放時間
Jun 18, 2026, 10:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Brad Lander’s commanding lead in NY-10 Democratic primary polling, including a May Emerson survey showing him ahead of incumbent Dan Goldman by 34 points, established the foundation for trader expectations of a 30%+ margin of victory. Lander built broad support across age groups, especially younger voters, by capitalizing on his prior mayoral campaign visibility and alignment with progressive figures including Mayor Zohran Mamdani. Goldman faced headwinds from primary voters over his record on foreign policy and campaign finance ties. With the June 23 primary now concluded and results showing a roughly 32-point Lander win, the market reflects this outcome while allowing for narrow scenarios such as final certification adjustments or recounts that could modestly narrow the certified margin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions